Incumbent Republican Max Miller holds a commanding lead in Ohio's 7th Congressional District, a solidly red seat with a partisan voting index of R+14, driving trader consensus to 79% for the Republican Party. Recent polling averages from sources like Race to the WH and 270toWin show Miller ahead by 20+ points over Democrat Matthew D. Peterson, reflecting the challenger's weak fundraising—under $100,000 versus Miller's $1.2 million—and limited name recognition. Strong Republican early voting turnout in Ohio, up 15% from 2022 in the district, combined with national GOP momentum in House battlegrounds, has widened the gap over the past two weeks. Nonpartisan ratings like Cook Political Report's "Solid Republican" reinforce the low 21.5% odds for Democrats ahead of the November 5 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于共和党
79%
民主党
22%
共和党
79%
民主党
22%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Max Miller holds a commanding lead in Ohio's 7th Congressional District, a solidly red seat with a partisan voting index of R+14, driving trader consensus to 79% for the Republican Party. Recent polling averages from sources like Race to the WH and 270toWin show Miller ahead by 20+ points over Democrat Matthew D. Peterson, reflecting the challenger's weak fundraising—under $100,000 versus Miller's $1.2 million—and limited name recognition. Strong Republican early voting turnout in Ohio, up 15% from 2022 in the district, combined with national GOP momentum in House battlegrounds, has widened the gap over the past two weeks. Nonpartisan ratings like Cook Political Report's "Solid Republican" reinforce the low 21.5% odds for Democrats ahead of the November 5 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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