Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats in the state, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and a 36-point Trump margin in 2024. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach secured her party’s endorsement in late April 2026 following a contested convention, bolstering her position ahead of the August 11 Republican primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Democratic primary is scheduled, yet no credible challenger has emerged to shift the structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though the district’s voting patterns and fundraising edge make such reversals improbable before the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$827 交易量
91%
民主党
$5,317 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats in the state, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and a 36-point Trump margin in 2024. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach secured her party’s endorsement in late April 2026 following a contested convention, bolstering her position ahead of the August 11 Republican primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Democratic primary is scheduled, yet no credible challenger has emerged to shift the structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though the district’s voting patterns and fundraising edge make such reversals improbable before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$6,144结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats in the state, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and a 36-point Trump margin in 2024. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach secured her party’s endorsement in late April 2026 following a contested convention, bolstering her position ahead of the August 11 Republican primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Democratic primary is scheduled, yet no credible challenger has emerged to shift the structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though the district’s voting patterns and fundraising edge make such reversals improbable before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,144结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats in the state, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and a 36-point Trump margin in 2024. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach secured her party’s endorsement in late April 2026 following a contested convention, bolstering her position ahead of the August 11 Republican primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Democratic primary is scheduled, yet no credible challenger has emerged to shift the structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or extreme national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though the district’s voting patterns and fundraising edge make such reversals improbable before the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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