Incumbent Republican Representative Michelle Fischbach seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District, a strongly conservative seat with an R+18 partisan voting index that delivered her 70.5 percent in 2024 and supported the Republican presidential nominee by 36 points. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries and November general election. Fischbach secured her party’s endorsement in April 2026 with minimal primary opposition, while Democrats endorsed Erik Osberg after their convention but face the same structural barriers. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican reflects these durable district fundamentals and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A national political realignment, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-cycle scandal could still alter the outcome before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$827 交易量
91%
民主党
$5,317 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Representative Michelle Fischbach seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District, a strongly conservative seat with an R+18 partisan voting index that delivered her 70.5 percent in 2024 and supported the Republican presidential nominee by 36 points. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries and November general election. Fischbach secured her party’s endorsement in April 2026 with minimal primary opposition, while Democrats endorsed Erik Osberg after their convention but face the same structural barriers. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican reflects these durable district fundamentals and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A national political realignment, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-cycle scandal could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$6,144结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Representative Michelle Fischbach seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District, a strongly conservative seat with an R+18 partisan voting index that delivered her 70.5 percent in 2024 and supported the Republican presidential nominee by 36 points. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries and November general election. Fischbach secured her party’s endorsement in April 2026 with minimal primary opposition, while Democrats endorsed Erik Osberg after their convention but face the same structural barriers. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican reflects these durable district fundamentals and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A national political realignment, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-cycle scandal could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,144结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Representative Michelle Fischbach seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 7th Congressional District, a strongly conservative seat with an R+18 partisan voting index that delivered her 70.5 percent in 2024 and supported the Republican presidential nominee by 36 points. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries and November general election. Fischbach secured her party’s endorsement in April 2026 with minimal primary opposition, while Democrats endorsed Erik Osberg after their convention but face the same structural barriers. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican reflects these durable district fundamentals and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A national political realignment, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-cycle scandal could still alter the outcome before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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