Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 90% implied probability for the MN-07 House seat due to the district's strong R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Michelle Fischbach's commanding reelection history, including a 70% victory margin in 2024. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, odds remain anchored by Fischbach's dominant fundraising ($767,000 cash on hand as of late 2025 versus under $100,000 combined for Democratic primary challengers Jared Adams, Heather Keeler, and Erik Osberg) and her unopposed Republican primary path. Multiple Democratic contenders risk vote-splitting ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, reinforcing the safe Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others for the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
90%
民主党
10%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$85 交易量
90%
民主党
$3,891 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 90% implied probability for the MN-07 House seat due to the district's strong R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Michelle Fischbach's commanding reelection history, including a 70% victory margin in 2024. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, odds remain anchored by Fischbach's dominant fundraising ($767,000 cash on hand as of late 2025 versus under $100,000 combined for Democratic primary challengers Jared Adams, Heather Keeler, and Erik Osberg) and her unopposed Republican primary path. Multiple Democratic contenders risk vote-splitting ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, reinforcing the safe Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others for the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$3,976结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 90% implied probability for the MN-07 House seat due to the district's strong R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Michelle Fischbach's commanding reelection history, including a 70% victory margin in 2024. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, odds remain anchored by Fischbach's dominant fundraising ($767,000 cash on hand as of late 2025 versus under $100,000 combined for Democratic primary challengers Jared Adams, Heather Keeler, and Erik Osberg) and her unopposed Republican primary path. Multiple Democratic contenders risk vote-splitting ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, reinforcing the safe Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others for the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,976结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 90% implied probability for the MN-07 House seat due to the district's strong R+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Michelle Fischbach's commanding reelection history, including a 70% victory margin in 2024. With no notable developments in the past 30 days, odds remain anchored by Fischbach's dominant fundraising ($767,000 cash on hand as of late 2025 versus under $100,000 combined for Democratic primary challengers Jared Adams, Heather Keeler, and Erik Osberg) and her unopposed Republican primary path. Multiple Democratic contenders risk vote-splitting ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, reinforcing the safe Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others for the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题