Incumbent Rep. Richard Neal's entrenched position as Ways and Means Committee chair, combined with his dominant fundraising—nearly ten times that of primary challenger Jeromie Whalen in late 2025—anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats in the MA-01 House race. Neal reaffirmed his reelection bid in February 2026 amid the teacher's progressive challenge, echoing his 2020 primary victory, while the district's deep-blue demographics in western and central Massachusetts leave Republicans at 7.5% absent a strong contender. The September 1 Democratic primary and November 3 general election loom, with odds reflecting historical incumbency advantages in safe seats; shifts could arise from a surprise primary upset, Neal scandal, or national Republican wave boosting GOP turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,497 交易量
92%
共和党
$4,304 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Richard Neal's entrenched position as Ways and Means Committee chair, combined with his dominant fundraising—nearly ten times that of primary challenger Jeromie Whalen in late 2025—anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats in the MA-01 House race. Neal reaffirmed his reelection bid in February 2026 amid the teacher's progressive challenge, echoing his 2020 primary victory, while the district's deep-blue demographics in western and central Massachusetts leave Republicans at 7.5% absent a strong contender. The September 1 Democratic primary and November 3 general election loom, with odds reflecting historical incumbency advantages in safe seats; shifts could arise from a surprise primary upset, Neal scandal, or national Republican wave boosting GOP turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$9,801结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Richard Neal's entrenched position as Ways and Means Committee chair, combined with his dominant fundraising—nearly ten times that of primary challenger Jeromie Whalen in late 2025—anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats in the MA-01 House race. Neal reaffirmed his reelection bid in February 2026 amid the teacher's progressive challenge, echoing his 2020 primary victory, while the district's deep-blue demographics in western and central Massachusetts leave Republicans at 7.5% absent a strong contender. The September 1 Democratic primary and November 3 general election loom, with odds reflecting historical incumbency advantages in safe seats; shifts could arise from a surprise primary upset, Neal scandal, or national Republican wave boosting GOP turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,801结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Richard Neal's entrenched position as Ways and Means Committee chair, combined with his dominant fundraising—nearly ten times that of primary challenger Jeromie Whalen in late 2025—anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats in the MA-01 House race. Neal reaffirmed his reelection bid in February 2026 amid the teacher's progressive challenge, echoing his 2020 primary victory, while the district's deep-blue demographics in western and central Massachusetts leave Republicans at 7.5% absent a strong contender. The September 1 Democratic primary and November 3 general election loom, with odds reflecting historical incumbency advantages in safe seats; shifts could arise from a surprise primary upset, Neal scandal, or national Republican wave boosting GOP turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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