Recent polls project Reform UK to gain 1,500–2,000 council seats in the May 7 local elections across 136 English authorities, including all 32 London boroughs and six mayoral contests, driving trader optimism amid Labour's projected losses of up to 1,740 seats and Conservative stagnation. Nigel Farage launched the campaign on March 25 in Sunderland, followed by rallies in Hull and Yorkshire, positioning the elections as a referendum on Keir Starmer's government with slogans like "Vote Reform, Get Starmer Out." April polls show volatility, with Reform dipping to 25% (More in Common, April 10–13) from 30% peaks, as Conservatives surge to 22%; Ipsos (April 16) finds public expectations of Reform and Green gains. Fragmented vote shares in 2026 by-elections and tactical anti-Reform efforts add uncertainty ahead of voter registration deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-05-07
1800+
42%
2000+
47%
2200+
34%
$8,448 交易量
1800+
$326 交易量
42%
2000+
$7,753 交易量
47%
2200+
$368 交易量
34%
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reform UK wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Recent polls project Reform UK to gain 1,500–2,000 council seats in the May 7 local elections across 136 English authorities, including all 32 London boroughs and six mayoral contests, driving trader optimism amid Labour's projected losses of up to 1,740 seats and Conservative stagnation. Nigel Farage launched the campaign on March 25 in Sunderland, followed by rallies in Hull and Yorkshire, positioning the elections as a referendum on Keir Starmer's government with slogans like "Vote Reform, Get Starmer Out." April polls show volatility, with Reform dipping to 25% (More in Common, April 10–13) from 30% peaks, as Conservatives surge to 22%; Ipsos (April 16) finds public expectations of Reform and Green gains. Fragmented vote shares in 2026 by-elections and tactical anti-Reform efforts add uncertainty ahead of voter registration deadlines.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reform UK wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reform UK wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
交易量
$8,448结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reform UK wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Recent polls project Reform UK to gain 1,500–2,000 council seats in the May 7 local elections across 136 English authorities, including all 32 London boroughs and six mayoral contests, driving trader optimism amid Labour's projected losses of up to 1,740 seats and Conservative stagnation. Nigel Farage launched the campaign on March 25 in Sunderland, followed by rallies in Hull and Yorkshire, positioning the elections as a referendum on Keir Starmer's government with slogans like "Vote Reform, Get Starmer Out." April polls show volatility, with Reform dipping to 25% (More in Common, April 10–13) from 30% peaks, as Conservatives surge to 22%; Ipsos (April 16) finds public expectations of Reform and Green gains. Fragmented vote shares in 2026 by-elections and tactical anti-Reform efforts add uncertainty ahead of voter registration deadlines.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reform UK wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reform UK wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
交易量
$8,448结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls project Reform UK to gain 1,500–2,000 council seats in the May 7 local elections across 136 English authorities, including all 32 London boroughs and six mayoral contests, driving trader optimism amid Labour's projected losses of up to 1,740 seats and Conservative stagnation. Nigel Farage launched the campaign on March 25 in Sunderland, followed by rallies in Hull and Yorkshire, positioning the elections as a referendum on Keir Starmer's government with slogans like "Vote Reform, Get Starmer Out." April polls show volatility, with Reform dipping to 25% (More in Common, April 10–13) from 30% peaks, as Conservatives surge to 22%; Ipsos (April 16) finds public expectations of Reform and Green gains. Fragmented vote shares in 2026 by-elections and tactical anti-Reform efforts add uncertainty ahead of voter registration deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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