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icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月17日至4月24日？
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月17日至4月24日？

icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月17日至4月24日？
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月17日至4月24日？

Ended: 4月 24

5月 19

5月 22

5月 26

Ended: 4月 24

5月 19

5月 22

5月 26

200-219 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$11,686,871 交易量

200-219 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$11,686,871 交易量

<20

$62,948 交易量

否

20-39

$66,427 交易量

否

40-59

$39,854 交易量

否

60-79

$75,391 交易量

否

80-99

$185,139 交易量

否

100-119

$207,955 交易量

否

120-139

$554,930 交易量

否

140-159

$531,427 交易量

否

160-179

$1,008,411 交易量

否

180-199

$1,631,433 交易量

否

200-219

$950,565 交易量

是

220-239

$1,071,322 交易量

否

240-259

$669,054 交易量

否

260-279

$675,365 交易量

否

280-299

$480,443 交易量

否

300-319

$442,229 交易量

否

320-339

$410,360 交易量

否

340-359

$359,829 交易量

否

360-379

$339,488 交易量

否

380-399

$258,981 交易量

否

400-419

$157,997 交易量

否

420-439

$165,871 交易量

否

440-459

$134,201 交易量

否

460-479

$117,743 交易量

否

480-499

$164,632 交易量

否

500-519

$100,285 交易量

否

520-539

$140,110 交易量

否

540-559

$180,209 交易量

否

560-579

$218,672 交易量

否

580条以上

$285,598 交易量

否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around a near-certain 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 200-219 times on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24 12:00 PM ET, driven by real-time trackers logging 184 posts through the first seven days at a steady daily average of 26, with April 24 activity—featuring viral replies on AI reasoning, political maps, and cultural critiques—projecting a final tally comfortably within range before cutoff. This reflects Musk's predictable high-volume tweeting cadence, amplified by ongoing engagement on Grok advancements and social commentary, mirroring historical patterns where he averages 25-35 posts daily amid pop culture buzz. An upset would require an unprecedented final-hour spree exceeding 35 additional posts, improbable given time constraints and his typical rhythm, though late-breaking news could spur minor shifts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$11,686,871
结束日期
2026-04-24
市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

结算来源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around a near-certain 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 200-219 times on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24 12:00 PM ET, driven by real-time trackers logging 184 posts through the first seven days at a steady daily average of 26, with April 24 activity—featuring viral replies on AI reasoning, political maps, and cultural critiques—projecting a final tally comfortably within range before cutoff. This reflects Musk's predictable high-volume tweeting cadence, amplified by ongoing engagement on Grok advancements and social commentary, mirroring historical patterns where he averages 25-35 posts daily amid pop culture buzz. An upset would require an unprecedented final-hour spree exceeding 35 additional posts, improbable given time constraints and his typical rhythm, though late-breaking news could spur minor shifts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$11,686,871
结束日期
2026-04-24
市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

结算来源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月17日至4月24日？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 30 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"200-219"，概率为 100%，其次是"<20"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月17日至4月24日？"已产生 $11.7 million 的总交易量（自Apr 14, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月17日至4月24日？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 30 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月17日至4月24日？"的当前领先者是"200-219"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"<20"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月17日至4月24日？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。