The May 17, 2026, Andalusian regional election produced confirmed preliminary results placing PSOE-A at 28 seats in the 109-seat parliament, driving the market's near-certain pricing on the 27-29 range as traders align with official tallies and historical polling trends. This outcome reflects sustained low support for the party amid PP's regional strength and gains for smaller left-wing groups, consistent with pre-election surveys projecting PSOE-A well below its 2022 total. The commanding position leaves limited room for reversal, though final seat allocations under the d'Hondt method or any late adjustments from outstanding ballots could theoretically shift the count by one or two seats before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于27-29 99.0%
<21 4.9%
33+ 2.4%
30-32 1.6%
$16,044 交易量
$16,044 交易量
<21
5%
21-23
<1%
24-26
<1%
27-29
99%
30-32
2%
33+
2%
27-29 99.0%
<21 4.9%
33+ 2.4%
30-32 1.6%
$16,044 交易量
$16,044 交易量
<21
5%
21-23
<1%
24-26
<1%
27-29
99%
30-32
2%
33+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The May 17, 2026, Andalusian regional election produced confirmed preliminary results placing PSOE-A at 28 seats in the 109-seat parliament, driving the market's near-certain pricing on the 27-29 range as traders align with official tallies and historical polling trends. This outcome reflects sustained low support for the party amid PP's regional strength and gains for smaller left-wing groups, consistent with pre-election surveys projecting PSOE-A well below its 2022 total. The commanding position leaves limited room for reversal, though final seat allocations under the d'Hondt method or any late adjustments from outstanding ballots could theoretically shift the count by one or two seats before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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