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icon for 安达卢西亚选举: PSOE-A席位数?

安达卢西亚选举: PSOE-A席位数?

icon for 安达卢西亚选举: PSOE-A席位数?

安达卢西亚选举: PSOE-A席位数?

27-29 99.0%

<21 4.9%

33+ 2.4%

30-32 1.6%

Polymarket

$16,044 交易量

27-29 99.0%

<21 4.9%

33+ 2.4%

30-32 1.6%

Polymarket

$16,044 交易量

<21

$4,919 交易量

5%

21-23

$1,099 交易量

<1%

24-26

$1,669 交易量

<1%

27-29

$2,232 交易量

99%

30-32

$1,858 交易量

2%

33+

$4,266 交易量

2%

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).The May 17, 2026, Andalusian regional election produced confirmed preliminary results placing PSOE-A at 28 seats in the 109-seat parliament, driving the market's near-certain pricing on the 27-29 range as traders align with official tallies and historical polling trends. This outcome reflects sustained low support for the party amid PP's regional strength and gains for smaller left-wing groups, consistent with pre-election surveys projecting PSOE-A well below its 2022 total. The commanding position leaves limited room for reversal, though final seat allocations under the d'Hondt method or any late adjustments from outstanding ballots could theoretically shift the count by one or two seats before resolution.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
交易量
$16,044
结束日期
2026-05-17
市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).The May 17, 2026, Andalusian regional election produced confirmed preliminary results placing PSOE-A at 28 seats in the 109-seat parliament, driving the market's near-certain pricing on the 27-29 range as traders align with official tallies and historical polling trends. This outcome reflects sustained low support for the party amid PP's regional strength and gains for smaller left-wing groups, consistent with pre-election surveys projecting PSOE-A well below its 2022 total. The commanding position leaves limited room for reversal, though final seat allocations under the d'Hondt method or any late adjustments from outstanding ballots could theoretically shift the count by one or two seats before resolution.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
交易量
$16,044
结束日期
2026-05-17
市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"安达卢西亚选举: PSOE-A席位数?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"27-29",概率为 99%,其次是"<21",概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"安达卢西亚选举: PSOE-A席位数?"已产生 $16K 的总交易量(自Apr 16, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"安达卢西亚选举: PSOE-A席位数?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"安达卢西亚选举: PSOE-A席位数?"的当前领先者是"27-29",概率为 99%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"<21",概率为 2%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"安达卢西亚选举: PSOE-A席位数?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。