Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 2, 2026, nominating contests and holds a strong position in the solidly Democratic district for the November general election. The seat’s partisan lean, reflected in recent voting patterns and Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, combined with the district’s urban and suburban composition around Albuquerque, reinforce this positioning. A competitive challenge would require an unusually strong Republican candidate, significant national political realignment, or unexpected developments affecting the incumbent between now and Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,204 交易量
$26,204 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
$26,204 交易量
$26,204 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$15,704 交易量
92%
共和党
$10,499 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 2, 2026, nominating contests and holds a strong position in the solidly Democratic district for the November general election. The seat’s partisan lean, reflected in recent voting patterns and Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, combined with the district’s urban and suburban composition around Albuquerque, reinforce this positioning. A competitive challenge would require an unusually strong Republican candidate, significant national political realignment, or unexpected developments affecting the incumbent between now and Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$26,204结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 2, 2026, nominating contests and holds a strong position in the solidly Democratic district for the November general election. The seat’s partisan lean, reflected in recent voting patterns and Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, combined with the district’s urban and suburban composition around Albuquerque, reinforce this positioning. A competitive challenge would require an unusually strong Republican candidate, significant national political realignment, or unexpected developments affecting the incumbent between now and Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,204结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 2, 2026, nominating contests and holds a strong position in the solidly Democratic district for the November general election. The seat’s partisan lean, reflected in recent voting patterns and Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising, combined with the district’s urban and suburban composition around Albuquerque, reinforce this positioning. A competitive challenge would require an unusually strong Republican candidate, significant national political realignment, or unexpected developments affecting the incumbent between now and Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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