Maryland’s 6th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its D+3 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney leads the June 23 Democratic primary over former Representative David Trone in recent sponsored polling, with margins of 11 to 15 points. The general election on November 3 features multiple Republican primary contenders but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered a Democratic victory in 2024. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at 89.5 percent incorporates the district’s electoral math, incumbency advantages, and absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive balance ahead of the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,118 交易量
$14,118 交易量
民主党
90%
共和党
9%
$14,118 交易量
$14,118 交易量
民主党
90%
共和党
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 6th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its D+3 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney leads the June 23 Democratic primary over former Representative David Trone in recent sponsored polling, with margins of 11 to 15 points. The general election on November 3 features multiple Republican primary contenders but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered a Democratic victory in 2024. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at 89.5 percent incorporates the district’s electoral math, incumbency advantages, and absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive balance ahead of the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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