Maryland's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its demographic makeup, suburban and western county voting patterns, and historical election results. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney holds a double-digit lead in the June 23 primary over former Representative David Trone according to multiple recent surveys, including a Hart Research poll showing her at 49% to 34%. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic for the November general election. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a district last won by a Democrat with 53% in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility from the ongoing primary contest or broader midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,118 交易量
$14,118 交易量
民主党
90%
共和党
9%
$14,118 交易量
$14,118 交易量
民主党
90%
共和党
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its demographic makeup, suburban and western county voting patterns, and historical election results. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney holds a double-digit lead in the June 23 primary over former Representative David Trone according to multiple recent surveys, including a Hart Research poll showing her at 49% to 34%. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic for the November general election. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a district last won by a Democrat with 53% in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility from the ongoing primary contest or broader midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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