Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster commands a commanding 91.5% implied probability in trader consensus for Illinois' 11th Congressional District House race, driven by his strong incumbency since 2013, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million against Republican challenger Jerry Evans' under $200,000, and consistent double-digit leads in recent district polling averages. The suburban Chicago seat's D+4 partisan lean and lack of major scandals or shifts in the past 30 days—despite national midterm-like dynamics—reinforce this positioning, with no notable developments in the last week beyond routine campaigning. Early voting underway could boost turnout, but an upset remains unlikely barring a late-breaking Foster gaffe, legal issue, health event, or overwhelming Republican national wave altering local battleground math. Resolution follows official certification post-November 5 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
92%
共和党
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
92%
共和党
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster commands a commanding 91.5% implied probability in trader consensus for Illinois' 11th Congressional District House race, driven by his strong incumbency since 2013, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million against Republican challenger Jerry Evans' under $200,000, and consistent double-digit leads in recent district polling averages. The suburban Chicago seat's D+4 partisan lean and lack of major scandals or shifts in the past 30 days—despite national midterm-like dynamics—reinforce this positioning, with no notable developments in the last week beyond routine campaigning. Early voting underway could boost turnout, but an upset remains unlikely barring a late-breaking Foster gaffe, legal issue, health event, or overwhelming Republican national wave altering local battleground math. Resolution follows official certification post-November 5 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster commands a commanding 91.5% implied probability in trader consensus for Illinois' 11th Congressional District House race, driven by his strong incumbency since 2013, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million against Republican challenger Jerry Evans' under $200,000, and consistent double-digit leads in recent district polling averages. The suburban Chicago seat's D+4 partisan lean and lack of major scandals or shifts in the past 30 days—despite national midterm-like dynamics—reinforce this positioning, with no notable developments in the last week beyond routine campaigning. Early voting underway could boost turnout, but an upset remains unlikely barring a late-breaking Foster gaffe, legal issue, health event, or overwhelming Republican national wave altering local battleground math. Resolution follows official certification post-November 5 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster commands a commanding 91.5% implied probability in trader consensus for Illinois' 11th Congressional District House race, driven by his strong incumbency since 2013, superior fundraising exceeding $2 million against Republican challenger Jerry Evans' under $200,000, and consistent double-digit leads in recent district polling averages. The suburban Chicago seat's D+4 partisan lean and lack of major scandals or shifts in the past 30 days—despite national midterm-like dynamics—reinforce this positioning, with no notable developments in the last week beyond routine campaigning. Early voting underway could boost turnout, but an upset remains unlikely barring a late-breaking Foster gaffe, legal issue, health event, or overwhelming Republican national wave altering local battleground math. Resolution follows official certification post-November 5 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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