State Rep. La Shawn Ford's victory in the crowded March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 7th Congressional District—securing the nomination with Davis's endorsement despite heavy outside spending—has solidified trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic hold in the November general election. The district's D+34 Cook PVI, the 7th most Democratic nationally, and historical margins exceeding 80% (e.g., retiring Rep. Danny Davis's 83% win in 2024 over the same Republican nominee Chad Koppie) underpin this commanding position, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic absent polls. GOP prospects face steep barriers from weak turnout and fundraising; realistic shifts would require a major Ford scandal, indictment, or extraordinary national Republican wave flipping safe seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$12,642 交易量
$12,642 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
5%
$12,642 交易量
$12,642 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,448 交易量
93%
共和党
$9,194 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).State Rep. La Shawn Ford's victory in the crowded March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 7th Congressional District—securing the nomination with Davis's endorsement despite heavy outside spending—has solidified trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic hold in the November general election. The district's D+34 Cook PVI, the 7th most Democratic nationally, and historical margins exceeding 80% (e.g., retiring Rep. Danny Davis's 83% win in 2024 over the same Republican nominee Chad Koppie) underpin this commanding position, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic absent polls. GOP prospects face steep barriers from weak turnout and fundraising; realistic shifts would require a major Ford scandal, indictment, or extraordinary national Republican wave flipping safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,642结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).State Rep. La Shawn Ford's victory in the crowded March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 7th Congressional District—securing the nomination with Davis's endorsement despite heavy outside spending—has solidified trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic hold in the November general election. The district's D+34 Cook PVI, the 7th most Democratic nationally, and historical margins exceeding 80% (e.g., retiring Rep. Danny Davis's 83% win in 2024 over the same Republican nominee Chad Koppie) underpin this commanding position, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic absent polls. GOP prospects face steep barriers from weak turnout and fundraising; realistic shifts would require a major Ford scandal, indictment, or extraordinary national Republican wave flipping safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,642结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. La Shawn Ford's victory in the crowded March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 7th Congressional District—securing the nomination with Davis's endorsement despite heavy outside spending—has solidified trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic hold in the November general election. The district's D+34 Cook PVI, the 7th most Democratic nationally, and historical margins exceeding 80% (e.g., retiring Rep. Danny Davis's 83% win in 2024 over the same Republican nominee Chad Koppie) underpin this commanding position, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating it Solid Democratic absent polls. GOP prospects face steep barriers from weak turnout and fundraising; realistic shifts would require a major Ford scandal, indictment, or extraordinary national Republican wave flipping safe seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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