Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres solidified his commanding position in NY-15—a deep-blue Bronx district with a D+35 Cook Partisan Voting Index—after decisively winning the June Democratic primary against progressive challengers like Pierina Sanchez. Republican nominee James Dillon, a perennial candidate who garnered just 24% in 2022, faces steep historical barriers, with Democrats routinely securing 70%+ margins in generals. No recent polling or scandals have shifted trader consensus, which prices a Torres victory as near-certain ahead of early voting and the November 5 election. Upsets would require improbable late developments like a major Democratic scandal, health issue for Torres, or anomalous turnout surge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$11,649 交易量
$11,649 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$11,649 交易量
$11,649 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$7,267 交易量
94%
共和党
$4,383 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres solidified his commanding position in NY-15—a deep-blue Bronx district with a D+35 Cook Partisan Voting Index—after decisively winning the June Democratic primary against progressive challengers like Pierina Sanchez. Republican nominee James Dillon, a perennial candidate who garnered just 24% in 2022, faces steep historical barriers, with Democrats routinely securing 70%+ margins in generals. No recent polling or scandals have shifted trader consensus, which prices a Torres victory as near-certain ahead of early voting and the November 5 election. Upsets would require improbable late developments like a major Democratic scandal, health issue for Torres, or anomalous turnout surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$11,649结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres solidified his commanding position in NY-15—a deep-blue Bronx district with a D+35 Cook Partisan Voting Index—after decisively winning the June Democratic primary against progressive challengers like Pierina Sanchez. Republican nominee James Dillon, a perennial candidate who garnered just 24% in 2022, faces steep historical barriers, with Democrats routinely securing 70%+ margins in generals. No recent polling or scandals have shifted trader consensus, which prices a Torres victory as near-certain ahead of early voting and the November 5 election. Upsets would require improbable late developments like a major Democratic scandal, health issue for Torres, or anomalous turnout surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,649结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ritchie Torres solidified his commanding position in NY-15—a deep-blue Bronx district with a D+35 Cook Partisan Voting Index—after decisively winning the June Democratic primary against progressive challengers like Pierina Sanchez. Republican nominee James Dillon, a perennial candidate who garnered just 24% in 2022, faces steep historical barriers, with Democrats routinely securing 70%+ margins in generals. No recent polling or scandals have shifted trader consensus, which prices a Torres victory as near-certain ahead of early voting and the November 5 election. Upsets would require improbable late developments like a major Democratic scandal, health issue for Torres, or anomalous turnout surge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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