Recent high-profile defections have strengthened the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) ahead of the September 14, 2026, parliamentary vote, the region’s first regular election under the Bangsamoro Organic Law. Interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua’s mid-August switch to BFP and assumption of its leadership, following earlier moves by Cotabato City officials and numerous local executives, has shifted momentum away from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the MILF-affiliated incumbent. Comelec previously designated UBJP the dominant majority party, yet trader consensus now favors BFP at 59.5 percent against UBJP’s 40.5 percent. The contest remains tight because both parties draw from overlapping MILF-era networks, local clan structures, and sectoral lists, with final party-list and district outcomes dependent on turnout among roughly 2.3 million registered voters and last-minute coalition alignments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于邦萨摩罗联邦党（BFP） 60%
联合邦萨摩洛正义党（UBJP） 41%
BGC 2.3%
选举推迟/取消 <1%
$72,629 交易量
$72,629 交易量
2026-09-14
邦萨摩罗联邦党（BFP）
60%
联合邦萨摩洛正义党（UBJP）
41%
BGC
2%
选举推迟/取消
1%
LBIAA
1%
进步邦萨摩洛党
<1%
C4P
<1%
ROHOSUMA
<1%
DTLO
<1%
MAHARDIKA
<1%
RSEU
<1%
THE ROYALS
<1%
RSL
<1%
ABOT
<1%
BAPA
<1%
BEST党
<1%
ISAMA
<1%
摩洛阿克党
<1%
穆沙瓦拉
<1%
PBB
<1%
RAAYAT民主党
<1%
TPWC
<1%
ROHOSUPA
<1%
伊朗侬苏丹国联盟 (ISLPI)
<1%
邦萨摩罗联邦党（BFP） 60%
联合邦萨摩洛正义党（UBJP） 41%
BGC 2.3%
选举推迟/取消 <1%
$72,629 交易量
$72,629 交易量
2026-09-14
邦萨摩罗联邦党（BFP）
$13,425 交易量
60%
联合邦萨摩洛正义党（UBJP）
$44,468 交易量
41%
BGC
$766 交易量
2%
选举推迟/取消
$813 交易量
1%
LBIAA
$860 交易量
1%
进步邦萨摩洛党
$616 交易量
<1%
C4P
$713 交易量
<1%
ROHOSUMA
$1,069 交易量
<1%
DTLO
$630 交易量
<1%
MAHARDIKA
$607 交易量
<1%
RSEU
$607 交易量
<1%
THE ROYALS
$601 交易量
<1%
RSL
$515 交易量
<1%
ABOT
$643 交易量
<1%
BAPA
$728 交易量
<1%
BEST党
$681 交易量
<1%
ISAMA
$634 交易量
<1%
摩洛阿克党
$634 交易量
<1%
穆沙瓦拉
$673 交易量
<1%
PBB
$568 交易量
<1%
RAAYAT民主党
$609 交易量
<1%
TPWC
$521 交易量
<1%
ROHOSUPA
$600 交易量
<1%
伊朗侬苏丹国联盟 (ISLPI)
$645 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Recent high-profile defections have strengthened the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) ahead of the September 14, 2026, parliamentary vote, the region’s first regular election under the Bangsamoro Organic Law. Interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua’s mid-August switch to BFP and assumption of its leadership, following earlier moves by Cotabato City officials and numerous local executives, has shifted momentum away from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the MILF-affiliated incumbent. Comelec previously designated UBJP the dominant majority party, yet trader consensus now favors BFP at 59.5 percent against UBJP’s 40.5 percent. The contest remains tight because both parties draw from overlapping MILF-era networks, local clan structures, and sectoral lists, with final party-list and district outcomes dependent on turnout among roughly 2.3 million registered voters and last-minute coalition alignments.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
市场开放时间： Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
交易量
$72,629结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Recent high-profile defections have strengthened the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) ahead of the September 14, 2026, parliamentary vote, the region’s first regular election under the Bangsamoro Organic Law. Interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua’s mid-August switch to BFP and assumption of its leadership, following earlier moves by Cotabato City officials and numerous local executives, has shifted momentum away from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the MILF-affiliated incumbent. Comelec previously designated UBJP the dominant majority party, yet trader consensus now favors BFP at 59.5 percent against UBJP’s 40.5 percent. The contest remains tight because both parties draw from overlapping MILF-era networks, local clan structures, and sectoral lists, with final party-list and district outcomes dependent on turnout among roughly 2.3 million registered voters and last-minute coalition alignments.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
交易量
$72,629结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-profile defections have strengthened the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) ahead of the September 14, 2026, parliamentary vote, the region’s first regular election under the Bangsamoro Organic Law. Interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua’s mid-August switch to BFP and assumption of its leadership, following earlier moves by Cotabato City officials and numerous local executives, has shifted momentum away from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the MILF-affiliated incumbent. Comelec previously designated UBJP the dominant majority party, yet trader consensus now favors BFP at 59.5 percent against UBJP’s 40.5 percent. The contest remains tight because both parties draw from overlapping MILF-era networks, local clan structures, and sectoral lists, with final party-list and district outcomes dependent on turnout among roughly 2.3 million registered voters and last-minute coalition alignments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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