Mark Brown's commanding 94.8% implied probability stems from the Cook Islands Party's preliminary victory in the August 12, 2026 general election, securing 12 of 24 seats and positioning the incumbent prime minister to lead a fifth consecutive term. As party leader and caretaker PM, Brown retained his seat and holds the clearest path to assembling parliamentary support, consistent with historical patterns where the largest party typically forms government through independents or minor partners. Tina Browne of the Democratic Party and Teariki Heather of the Cook Islands United Party trail at 1.1% each amid their parties' weaker results. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected opposition coalition or post-election seat adjustments that prevent Brown from securing the necessary backing before parliament convenes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于马克·布朗 94.8%
Teariki Heather 1.1%
蒂娜·布朗 <1%
$44,950 交易量
$44,950 交易量
2026-08-12
马克·布朗
95%
Teariki Heather
1%
蒂娜·布朗
1%
马克·布朗 94.8%
Teariki Heather 1.1%
蒂娜·布朗 <1%
$44,950 交易量
$44,950 交易量
2026-08-12
马克·布朗
$35,116 交易量
95%
Teariki Heather
$4,281 交易量
1%
蒂娜·布朗
$5,553 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mark Brown's commanding 94.8% implied probability stems from the Cook Islands Party's preliminary victory in the August 12, 2026 general election, securing 12 of 24 seats and positioning the incumbent prime minister to lead a fifth consecutive term. As party leader and caretaker PM, Brown retained his seat and holds the clearest path to assembling parliamentary support, consistent with historical patterns where the largest party typically forms government through independents or minor partners. Tina Browne of the Democratic Party and Teariki Heather of the Cook Islands United Party trail at 1.1% each amid their parties' weaker results. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected opposition coalition or post-election seat adjustments that prevent Brown from securing the necessary backing before parliament convenes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ET
交易量
$44,950结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mark Brown's commanding 94.8% implied probability stems from the Cook Islands Party's preliminary victory in the August 12, 2026 general election, securing 12 of 24 seats and positioning the incumbent prime minister to lead a fifth consecutive term. As party leader and caretaker PM, Brown retained his seat and holds the clearest path to assembling parliamentary support, consistent with historical patterns where the largest party typically forms government through independents or minor partners. Tina Browne of the Democratic Party and Teariki Heather of the Cook Islands United Party trail at 1.1% each amid their parties' weaker results. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected opposition coalition or post-election seat adjustments that prevent Brown from securing the necessary backing before parliament convenes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$44,950结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mark Brown's commanding 94.8% implied probability stems from the Cook Islands Party's preliminary victory in the August 12, 2026 general election, securing 12 of 24 seats and positioning the incumbent prime minister to lead a fifth consecutive term. As party leader and caretaker PM, Brown retained his seat and holds the clearest path to assembling parliamentary support, consistent with historical patterns where the largest party typically forms government through independents or minor partners. Tina Browne of the Democratic Party and Teariki Heather of the Cook Islands United Party trail at 1.1% each amid their parties' weaker results. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected opposition coalition or post-election seat adjustments that prevent Brown from securing the necessary backing before parliament convenes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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