George Latimer's decisive June primary victory over incumbent Jamaal Bowman has solidified Democratic control in NY-16, a district with a strong D+24 partisan lean where Republicans have not held the seat since 1980. Recent polling averages show Latimer leading Republican nominee Miriam Davidson, a low-profile financial advisor, by margins exceeding 25 points, reflecting the area's reliable Democratic turnout in Westchester County and parts of the Bronx. With early voting underway ahead of the November 5 general election, trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 91.5%, viewing GOP chances as a remote long shot absent a major Latimer scandal, voter turnout collapse, or national Republican landslide wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$5,448 交易量
93%
共和党
$3,771 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).George Latimer's decisive June primary victory over incumbent Jamaal Bowman has solidified Democratic control in NY-16, a district with a strong D+24 partisan lean where Republicans have not held the seat since 1980. Recent polling averages show Latimer leading Republican nominee Miriam Davidson, a low-profile financial advisor, by margins exceeding 25 points, reflecting the area's reliable Democratic turnout in Westchester County and parts of the Bronx. With early voting underway ahead of the November 5 general election, trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 91.5%, viewing GOP chances as a remote long shot absent a major Latimer scandal, voter turnout collapse, or national Republican landslide wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$9,219结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).George Latimer's decisive June primary victory over incumbent Jamaal Bowman has solidified Democratic control in NY-16, a district with a strong D+24 partisan lean where Republicans have not held the seat since 1980. Recent polling averages show Latimer leading Republican nominee Miriam Davidson, a low-profile financial advisor, by margins exceeding 25 points, reflecting the area's reliable Democratic turnout in Westchester County and parts of the Bronx. With early voting underway ahead of the November 5 general election, trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 91.5%, viewing GOP chances as a remote long shot absent a major Latimer scandal, voter turnout collapse, or national Republican landslide wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,219结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...George Latimer's decisive June primary victory over incumbent Jamaal Bowman has solidified Democratic control in NY-16, a district with a strong D+24 partisan lean where Republicans have not held the seat since 1980. Recent polling averages show Latimer leading Republican nominee Miriam Davidson, a low-profile financial advisor, by margins exceeding 25 points, reflecting the area's reliable Democratic turnout in Westchester County and parts of the Bronx. With early voting underway ahead of the November 5 general election, trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 91.5%, viewing GOP chances as a remote long shot absent a major Latimer scandal, voter turnout collapse, or national Republican landslide wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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