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icon for 哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:第二名

哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:第二名

icon for 哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:第二名

哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:第二名

奥伊尔 79%

阿克若尔党 9.8%

Respublica 8%

JSDP 1.3%

Polymarket

$85,574 交易量

奥伊尔 79%

阿克若尔党 9.8%

Respublica 8%

JSDP 1.3%

Polymarket

$85,574 交易量

icon for 奥伊尔

奥伊尔

$59,023 交易量

79%

icon for 阿克若尔党

阿克若尔党

$10,814 交易量

10%

icon for Respublica

Respublica

$5,410 交易量

8%

icon for JSDP

JSDP

$4,470 交易量

1%

icon for QHP

QHP

$3,119 交易量

1%

icon for 阿迪列特

阿迪列特

$1,146 交易量

<1%

icon for Baytaq

Baytaq

$1,592 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Auyl holds a strong lead in trader pricing for second place in Kazakhstan’s August 23 Kurultai election, reflecting consistent national polling that places the party behind frontrunner Adilet while other registered parties remain well behind. Recent surveys and campaign activity highlight Auyl’s established rural and agricultural support base as the main factor sustaining its position. Aq Jol and Respublica show modest shares in late polling but face limited momentum to overtake Auyl before voting. The shift to a unicameral 145-seat legislature elected by nationwide proportional representation has focused attention on threshold dynamics and party-list performance, with traders viewing the outcome as largely settled absent major last-minute shifts.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
交易量
$85,574
结束日期
2026-08-23
市场开放时间
Jul 13, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Auyl holds a strong lead in trader pricing for second place in Kazakhstan’s August 23 Kurultai election, reflecting consistent national polling that places the party behind frontrunner Adilet while other registered parties remain well behind. Recent surveys and campaign activity highlight Auyl’s established rural and agricultural support base as the main factor sustaining its position. Aq Jol and Respublica show modest shares in late polling but face limited momentum to overtake Auyl before voting. The shift to a unicameral 145-seat legislature elected by nationwide proportional representation has focused attention on threshold dynamics and party-list performance, with traders viewing the outcome as largely settled absent major last-minute shifts.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
交易量
$85,574
结束日期
2026-08-23
市场开放时间
Jul 13, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:第二名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"奥伊尔",概率为 79%,其次是"阿克若尔党",概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 79¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 79%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:第二名"已产生 $85.6K 的总交易量(自Jul 13, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:第二名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:第二名"的当前领先者是"奥伊尔",概率为 79%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 79%。紧随其后的结果是"阿克若尔党",概率为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:第二名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。