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icon for 哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:政党获胜者

哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:政党获胜者

icon for 哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:政党获胜者

哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:政党获胜者

阿迪莱特 98.9%

JSDP <1%

Baytaq <1%

Auyl <1%

Polymarket

$11,006 交易量

阿迪莱特 98.9%

JSDP <1%

Baytaq <1%

Auyl <1%

Polymarket

$11,006 交易量

icon for 阿迪莱特

阿迪莱特

$3,552 交易量

99%

icon for JSDP

JSDP

$1,923 交易量

<1%

icon for Baytaq

Baytaq

$900 交易量

<1%

icon for Auyl

Auyl

$831 交易量

<1%

icon for Respublica

Respublica

$717 交易量

<1%

icon for 阿克若尔党

阿克若尔党

$2,087 交易量

<1%

icon for QHP

QHP

$995 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Adilet's commanding position in the Kazakhstan Kurultai election market stems from its June 2026 merger with the former ruling Amanat party, consolidating pro-presidential support ahead of the August 23 vote for the new 145-seat unicameral legislature. The party, registered in 2026 and led by Aibek Dadebay, a former presidential administration head, benefits from institutional alignment with President Tokayev's reform agenda and broad access to established networks. Seven parties cleared to contest via party-list proportional representation, including Auyl, Respublica, Aq Jol, and JSDP, hold fragmented historical support below 11 percent from prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift only through unforeseen late developments such as major registration disputes or turnout anomalies within the resolution window.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
交易量
$11,006
结束日期
2026-08-23
市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Adilet's commanding position in the Kazakhstan Kurultai election market stems from its June 2026 merger with the former ruling Amanat party, consolidating pro-presidential support ahead of the August 23 vote for the new 145-seat unicameral legislature. The party, registered in 2026 and led by Aibek Dadebay, a former presidential administration head, benefits from institutional alignment with President Tokayev's reform agenda and broad access to established networks. Seven parties cleared to contest via party-list proportional representation, including Auyl, Respublica, Aq Jol, and JSDP, hold fragmented historical support below 11 percent from prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift only through unforeseen late developments such as major registration disputes or turnout anomalies within the resolution window.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
交易量
$11,006
结束日期
2026-08-23
市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.

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常见问题

"哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:政党获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"阿迪莱特",概率为 99%,其次是"JSDP",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:政党获胜者"已产生 $11K 的总交易量(自Jul 14, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:政党获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:政党获胜者"的当前领先者是"阿迪莱特",概率为 99%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"JSDP",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哈萨克斯坦库尔泰选举:政党获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。