Trader consensus heavily favors Rep. Byron Donalds at 82.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his high-profile congressional record, strong alignment with former President Trump, and base in a competitive South Florida district that positions him well for statewide appeal in an open-seat race following Gov. Ron DeSantis's term limit. Recent polling aggregates and early fundraising reports underscore Donalds's momentum, with no major challengers emerging to erode his lead in the past 30 days. Hedge fund manager James Fishback trails at 10.5% after his early announcement and conservative advocacy, while businessman Jay Collins garners 4.7% on business credentials; lower-tier candidates like Casey DeSantis lack visible campaign infrastructure. Key upcoming milestones include formal announcements, primary filing deadlines in mid-2025, and potential endorsements from Trump or DeSantis ahead of the August 2026 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于拜伦·唐纳兹 83%
詹姆斯·费什巴克 11%
杰伊·柯林斯 4.5%
凯西·德桑蒂斯 <1%
$928,336 交易量
$928,336 交易量
Aug 18, 2026
拜伦·唐纳兹
83%
詹姆斯·费什巴克
11%
杰伊·柯林斯
4%
凯西·德桑蒂斯
1%
威尔顿·辛普森
<1%
马特·盖茨
<1%
吉米·帕特罗尼斯
<1%
拜伦·唐纳兹 83%
詹姆斯·费什巴克 11%
杰伊·柯林斯 4.5%
凯西·德桑蒂斯 <1%
$928,336 交易量
$928,336 交易量
Aug 18, 2026
拜伦·唐纳兹
$71,502 交易量
83%
詹姆斯·费什巴克
$280,178 交易量
11%
杰伊·柯林斯
$466,806 交易量
4%
凯西·德桑蒂斯
$97,011 交易量
1%
威尔顿·辛普森
$12,839 交易量
<1%
马特·盖茨
$0 交易量
<1%
吉米·帕特罗尼斯
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
交易量
$928,336结束日期
Aug 18, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$928,336结束日期
Aug 18, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Rep. Byron Donalds at 82.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his high-profile congressional record, strong alignment with former President Trump, and base in a competitive South Florida district that positions him well for statewide appeal in an open-seat race following Gov. Ron DeSantis's term limit. Recent polling aggregates and early fundraising reports underscore Donalds's momentum, with no major challengers emerging to erode his lead in the past 30 days. Hedge fund manager James Fishback trails at 10.5% after his early announcement and conservative advocacy, while businessman Jay Collins garners 4.7% on business credentials; lower-tier candidates like Casey DeSantis lack visible campaign infrastructure. Key upcoming milestones include formal announcements, primary filing deadlines in mid-2025, and potential endorsements from Trump or DeSantis ahead of the August 2026 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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