The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the Texas 16th congressional district race due to the area's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's established position. Veronica Escobar secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, reflecting limited intra-party competition. The district, centered in El Paso and including key military and transportation assets preserved during recent redistricting, has delivered Democratic margins above 55 percent in recent cycles, including support for Kamala Harris in 2024. Traders price in these structural advantages through the general election on November 3. A realistic shift would require either a major scandal involving the nominee or an unforeseen national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's baseline voting patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,003 交易量
94%
共和党
$3,926 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the Texas 16th congressional district race due to the area's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's established position. Veronica Escobar secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, reflecting limited intra-party competition. The district, centered in El Paso and including key military and transportation assets preserved during recent redistricting, has delivered Democratic margins above 55 percent in recent cycles, including support for Kamala Harris in 2024. Traders price in these structural advantages through the general election on November 3. A realistic shift would require either a major scandal involving the nominee or an unforeseen national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's baseline voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$8,929结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the Texas 16th congressional district race due to the area's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's established position. Veronica Escobar secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, reflecting limited intra-party competition. The district, centered in El Paso and including key military and transportation assets preserved during recent redistricting, has delivered Democratic margins above 55 percent in recent cycles, including support for Kamala Harris in 2024. Traders price in these structural advantages through the general election on November 3. A realistic shift would require either a major scandal involving the nominee or an unforeseen national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's baseline voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,929结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the Texas 16th congressional district race due to the area's consistent partisan lean and the incumbent's established position. Veronica Escobar secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, reflecting limited intra-party competition. The district, centered in El Paso and including key military and transportation assets preserved during recent redistricting, has delivered Democratic margins above 55 percent in recent cycles, including support for Kamala Harris in 2024. Traders price in these structural advantages through the general election on November 3. A realistic shift would require either a major scandal involving the nominee or an unforeseen national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's baseline voting patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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