The trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic nominee in Texas's 16th congressional district stems from its consistent partisan lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and strong Democratic performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Representative Veronica Escobar secured her party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and maintains a well-established presence in the El Paso-based district. Republican primary contenders advanced to a May 26 runoff amid limited fundraising and lower visibility, reinforcing the seat's status as solidly Democratic in independent race ratings. While late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could alter the trajectory before the November general election, the current positioning reflects entrenched electoral math and incumbency advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,003 交易量
94%
共和党
$3,926 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic nominee in Texas's 16th congressional district stems from its consistent partisan lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and strong Democratic performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Representative Veronica Escobar secured her party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and maintains a well-established presence in the El Paso-based district. Republican primary contenders advanced to a May 26 runoff amid limited fundraising and lower visibility, reinforcing the seat's status as solidly Democratic in independent race ratings. While late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could alter the trajectory before the November general election, the current positioning reflects entrenched electoral math and incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$8,929结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic nominee in Texas's 16th congressional district stems from its consistent partisan lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and strong Democratic performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Representative Veronica Escobar secured her party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and maintains a well-established presence in the El Paso-based district. Republican primary contenders advanced to a May 26 runoff amid limited fundraising and lower visibility, reinforcing the seat's status as solidly Democratic in independent race ratings. While late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could alter the trajectory before the November general election, the current positioning reflects entrenched electoral math and incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,929结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic nominee in Texas's 16th congressional district stems from its consistent partisan lean, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and strong Democratic performance in recent presidential and House elections. Incumbent Representative Veronica Escobar secured her party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and maintains a well-established presence in the El Paso-based district. Republican primary contenders advanced to a May 26 runoff amid limited fundraising and lower visibility, reinforcing the seat's status as solidly Democratic in independent race ratings. While late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could alter the trajectory before the November general election, the current positioning reflects entrenched electoral math and incumbency advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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