The strong Democratic lean of California's 10th congressional district in the San Francisco Bay Area sustains trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in the 2026 House election. Incumbent Representative Mark DeSaulnier, who won re-election in 2024 with 66.5 percent of the vote, faces a June 2 primary and November 3 general election against limited Republican opposition, including declared candidate Jeff Frese. Voter registration patterns and the district's consistent partisan performance reinforce this positioning ahead of the filing deadline that closed in March. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a surprise primary surge by a well-funded challenger or broader national shifts in turnout and messaging that boost Republican performance in the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,469 交易量
$13,469 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$13,469 交易量
$13,469 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,846 交易量
93%
共和党
$5,623 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 10th congressional district in the San Francisco Bay Area sustains trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in the 2026 House election. Incumbent Representative Mark DeSaulnier, who won re-election in 2024 with 66.5 percent of the vote, faces a June 2 primary and November 3 general election against limited Republican opposition, including declared candidate Jeff Frese. Voter registration patterns and the district's consistent partisan performance reinforce this positioning ahead of the filing deadline that closed in March. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a surprise primary surge by a well-funded challenger or broader national shifts in turnout and messaging that boost Republican performance in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$13,469结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 10th congressional district in the San Francisco Bay Area sustains trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in the 2026 House election. Incumbent Representative Mark DeSaulnier, who won re-election in 2024 with 66.5 percent of the vote, faces a June 2 primary and November 3 general election against limited Republican opposition, including declared candidate Jeff Frese. Voter registration patterns and the district's consistent partisan performance reinforce this positioning ahead of the filing deadline that closed in March. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a surprise primary surge by a well-funded challenger or broader national shifts in turnout and messaging that boost Republican performance in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,469结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 10th congressional district in the San Francisco Bay Area sustains trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in the 2026 House election. Incumbent Representative Mark DeSaulnier, who won re-election in 2024 with 66.5 percent of the vote, faces a June 2 primary and November 3 general election against limited Republican opposition, including declared candidate Jeff Frese. Voter registration patterns and the district's consistent partisan performance reinforce this positioning ahead of the filing deadline that closed in March. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a surprise primary surge by a well-funded challenger or broader national shifts in turnout and messaging that boost Republican performance in the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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