Trader consensus prices a Democratic Party win at 82% in Michigan's 7th Congressional District House race, reflecting momentum from a March 17-18 poll showing William Lawrence leading the crowded Democratic primary at 45%, well ahead of rivals like Matt Maasdam and Bridget Brink—potentially yielding a unified, formidable challenger to incumbent Republican Tom Barrett. This toss-up seat, with an even partisan index based on recent presidential results, favors Democrats amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party and Barrett's narrow 2024 victory. Competitive primaries risk turnout issues, but Lawrence's edge has traders optimistic on Democratic nominee strength ahead of the August 4, 2026, primaries and November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
82%
共和党
14%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$944 交易量
82%
共和党
$356 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Democratic Party win at 82% in Michigan's 7th Congressional District House race, reflecting momentum from a March 17-18 poll showing William Lawrence leading the crowded Democratic primary at 45%, well ahead of rivals like Matt Maasdam and Bridget Brink—potentially yielding a unified, formidable challenger to incumbent Republican Tom Barrett. This toss-up seat, with an even partisan index based on recent presidential results, favors Democrats amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party and Barrett's narrow 2024 victory. Competitive primaries risk turnout issues, but Lawrence's edge has traders optimistic on Democratic nominee strength ahead of the August 4, 2026, primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,300结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Democratic Party win at 82% in Michigan's 7th Congressional District House race, reflecting momentum from a March 17-18 poll showing William Lawrence leading the crowded Democratic primary at 45%, well ahead of rivals like Matt Maasdam and Bridget Brink—potentially yielding a unified, formidable challenger to incumbent Republican Tom Barrett. This toss-up seat, with an even partisan index based on recent presidential results, favors Democrats amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party and Barrett's narrow 2024 victory. Competitive primaries risk turnout issues, but Lawrence's edge has traders optimistic on Democratic nominee strength ahead of the August 4, 2026, primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,300结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic Party win at 82% in Michigan's 7th Congressional District House race, reflecting momentum from a March 17-18 poll showing William Lawrence leading the crowded Democratic primary at 45%, well ahead of rivals like Matt Maasdam and Bridget Brink—potentially yielding a unified, formidable challenger to incumbent Republican Tom Barrett. This toss-up seat, with an even partisan index based on recent presidential results, favors Democrats amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party and Barrett's narrow 2024 victory. Competitive primaries risk turnout issues, but Lawrence's edge has traders optimistic on Democratic nominee strength ahead of the August 4, 2026, primaries and November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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