The district’s Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Longtime incumbent Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and seeking reelection, has maintained strong primary and general-election margins in prior cycles. The June 23 Republican primary, where Harris holds a clear advantage over challenger Christopher Bruneau, and the November 3 general election timeline further stabilize positioning ahead of the vote. Democratic candidates have emerged but face structural headwinds in this Eastern Shore and suburban Baltimore district. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the established outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党
65%
民主党
35%
共和党
65%
民主党
35%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Longtime incumbent Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and seeking reelection, has maintained strong primary and general-election margins in prior cycles. The June 23 Republican primary, where Harris holds a clear advantage over challenger Christopher Bruneau, and the November 3 general election timeline further stabilize positioning ahead of the vote. Democratic candidates have emerged but face structural headwinds in this Eastern Shore and suburban Baltimore district. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the established outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题