The Republican Party holds a 64.5% implied probability in the MD-01 House race due to the district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris faces a June 23 primary challenge but benefits from the Eastern Shore’s established voting patterns and fundraising edge. Democrats, with a crowded June primary led by Dan Schwartz, confront structural barriers in a district that has delivered Republican victories by double-digit margins in recent cycles. No major polling shifts or redistricting changes have altered this outlook in the past month, leaving traders pricing in the incumbent’s path to the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
65%
民主党
35%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,437 交易量
65%
民主党
$3,537 交易量
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 64.5% implied probability in the MD-01 House race due to the district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris faces a June 23 primary challenge but benefits from the Eastern Shore’s established voting patterns and fundraising edge. Democrats, with a crowded June primary led by Dan Schwartz, confront structural barriers in a district that has delivered Republican victories by double-digit margins in recent cycles. No major polling shifts or redistricting changes have altered this outlook in the past month, leaving traders pricing in the incumbent’s path to the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$8,974结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 64.5% implied probability in the MD-01 House race due to the district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris faces a June 23 primary challenge but benefits from the Eastern Shore’s established voting patterns and fundraising edge. Democrats, with a crowded June primary led by Dan Schwartz, confront structural barriers in a district that has delivered Republican victories by double-digit margins in recent cycles. No major polling shifts or redistricting changes have altered this outlook in the past month, leaving traders pricing in the incumbent’s path to the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,974结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a 64.5% implied probability in the MD-01 House race due to the district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris faces a June 23 primary challenge but benefits from the Eastern Shore’s established voting patterns and fundraising edge. Democrats, with a crowded June primary led by Dan Schwartz, confront structural barriers in a district that has delivered Republican victories by double-digit margins in recent cycles. No major polling shifts or redistricting changes have altered this outlook in the past month, leaving traders pricing in the incumbent’s path to the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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