Maryland's 1st congressional district remains closely contested in trader assessments for the 2026 House election, with the Republican and Democratic parties each priced near even odds. The race features incumbent Republican Andy Harris seeking renomination against a primary challenger amid a district with an R+8 partisan voter index, while multiple Democratic candidates vie for their party's nod ahead of the June 23 primaries. A Democratic-led redistricting effort that could have boosted the party's prospects failed in the state Senate earlier this year, preserving the current map. Limited polling and fundraising data, combined with the early general election timeline before November 3, sustain uncertainty about nominee strength and turnout dynamics in this Eastern Shore and suburban area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党
44%
民主党
38%
共和党
44%
民主党
38%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 1st congressional district remains closely contested in trader assessments for the 2026 House election, with the Republican and Democratic parties each priced near even odds. The race features incumbent Republican Andy Harris seeking renomination against a primary challenger amid a district with an R+8 partisan voter index, while multiple Democratic candidates vie for their party's nod ahead of the June 23 primaries. A Democratic-led redistricting effort that could have boosted the party's prospects failed in the state Senate earlier this year, preserving the current map. Limited polling and fundraising data, combined with the early general election timeline before November 3, sustain uncertainty about nominee strength and turnout dynamics in this Eastern Shore and suburban area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题