Republican incumbent Andy Harris faces limited primary opposition in Maryland's 1st District ahead of the June 23 primaries, while Democrats field multiple challengers including Victor Guidice, Dan Schwartz, Randi White, and George Walish for the November 3 general election. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in Harris's 2024 performance and consistent Cook Political Report Solid R rating, underpins the current trader consensus. Recent candidate filings and the absence of major shifts in the Eastern Shore and Harford County electorate have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican nominee positioned to benefit from incumbency and local voting patterns in this R-leaning seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
66%
民主党
34%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,475 交易量
66%
民主党
$3,578 交易量
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andy Harris faces limited primary opposition in Maryland's 1st District ahead of the June 23 primaries, while Democrats field multiple challengers including Victor Guidice, Dan Schwartz, Randi White, and George Walish for the November 3 general election. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in Harris's 2024 performance and consistent Cook Political Report Solid R rating, underpins the current trader consensus. Recent candidate filings and the absence of major shifts in the Eastern Shore and Harford County electorate have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican nominee positioned to benefit from incumbency and local voting patterns in this R-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$9,052结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andy Harris faces limited primary opposition in Maryland's 1st District ahead of the June 23 primaries, while Democrats field multiple challengers including Victor Guidice, Dan Schwartz, Randi White, and George Walish for the November 3 general election. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in Harris's 2024 performance and consistent Cook Political Report Solid R rating, underpins the current trader consensus. Recent candidate filings and the absence of major shifts in the Eastern Shore and Harford County electorate have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican nominee positioned to benefit from incumbency and local voting patterns in this R-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,052结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Andy Harris faces limited primary opposition in Maryland's 1st District ahead of the June 23 primaries, while Democrats field multiple challengers including Victor Guidice, Dan Schwartz, Randi White, and George Walish for the November 3 general election. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in Harris's 2024 performance and consistent Cook Political Report Solid R rating, underpins the current trader consensus. Recent candidate filings and the absence of major shifts in the Eastern Shore and Harford County electorate have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican nominee positioned to benefit from incumbency and local voting patterns in this R-leaning seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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