Republican incumbent Rep. Nick Begich's commanding fundraising position, with millions in his campaign account as of early February, alongside President Trump's prior endorsement, anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP at 72.5% to hold Alaska's at-large House seat. Former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola's January announcement to challenge Sen. Dan Sullivan vacated the Democratic nomination, forcing a scramble for a challenger like emerging contender Matt Schultz amid Alaska's historical Republican presidential lean since statehood. With no public polling yet, the race awaits Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary and ranked-choice general election on November 3, where independent voters and national midterm dynamics could influence outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
73%
民主党
27%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
73%
民主党
$0 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Rep. Nick Begich's commanding fundraising position, with millions in his campaign account as of early February, alongside President Trump's prior endorsement, anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP at 72.5% to hold Alaska's at-large House seat. Former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola's January announcement to challenge Sen. Dan Sullivan vacated the Democratic nomination, forcing a scramble for a challenger like emerging contender Matt Schultz amid Alaska's historical Republican presidential lean since statehood. With no public polling yet, the race awaits Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary and ranked-choice general election on November 3, where independent voters and national midterm dynamics could influence outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Rep. Nick Begich's commanding fundraising position, with millions in his campaign account as of early February, alongside President Trump's prior endorsement, anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP at 72.5% to hold Alaska's at-large House seat. Former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola's January announcement to challenge Sen. Dan Sullivan vacated the Democratic nomination, forcing a scramble for a challenger like emerging contender Matt Schultz amid Alaska's historical Republican presidential lean since statehood. With no public polling yet, the race awaits Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary and ranked-choice general election on November 3, where independent voters and national midterm dynamics could influence outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Rep. Nick Begich's commanding fundraising position, with millions in his campaign account as of early February, alongside President Trump's prior endorsement, anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP at 72.5% to hold Alaska's at-large House seat. Former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola's January announcement to challenge Sen. Dan Sullivan vacated the Democratic nomination, forcing a scramble for a challenger like emerging contender Matt Schultz amid Alaska's historical Republican presidential lean since statehood. With no public polling yet, the race awaits Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary and ranked-choice general election on November 3, where independent voters and national midterm dynamics could influence outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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