Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds Alaska's at-large House seat after defeating Democrat Mary Peltola in 2024, bolstering trader consensus at 64.5% for a GOP win in the November 3, 2026, general election under the state's top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system. Peltola's January 2026 announcement to challenge Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) vacated the Democratic position, allowing Begich to consolidate endorsements and leverage his family political legacy in the Republican-leaning state, where GOP presidential nominees have dominated since statehood. Democrats are recruiting challengers like pastor Matt Schultz amid national targeting by groups like the DCCC and Swing Left, but lack a high-profile incumbent keeps the race competitive ahead of the August 18 primary; recent Senate polling favoring Peltola has not yet spilled over to boost House Democratic odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
65%
民主党
32%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$644 交易量
65%
民主党
$363 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds Alaska's at-large House seat after defeating Democrat Mary Peltola in 2024, bolstering trader consensus at 64.5% for a GOP win in the November 3, 2026, general election under the state's top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system. Peltola's January 2026 announcement to challenge Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) vacated the Democratic position, allowing Begich to consolidate endorsements and leverage his family political legacy in the Republican-leaning state, where GOP presidential nominees have dominated since statehood. Democrats are recruiting challengers like pastor Matt Schultz amid national targeting by groups like the DCCC and Swing Left, but lack a high-profile incumbent keeps the race competitive ahead of the August 18 primary; recent Senate polling favoring Peltola has not yet spilled over to boost House Democratic odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$1,007结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds Alaska's at-large House seat after defeating Democrat Mary Peltola in 2024, bolstering trader consensus at 64.5% for a GOP win in the November 3, 2026, general election under the state's top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system. Peltola's January 2026 announcement to challenge Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) vacated the Democratic position, allowing Begich to consolidate endorsements and leverage his family political legacy in the Republican-leaning state, where GOP presidential nominees have dominated since statehood. Democrats are recruiting challengers like pastor Matt Schultz amid national targeting by groups like the DCCC and Swing Left, but lack a high-profile incumbent keeps the race competitive ahead of the August 18 primary; recent Senate polling favoring Peltola has not yet spilled over to boost House Democratic odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,007结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds Alaska's at-large House seat after defeating Democrat Mary Peltola in 2024, bolstering trader consensus at 64.5% for a GOP win in the November 3, 2026, general election under the state's top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system. Peltola's January 2026 announcement to challenge Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) vacated the Democratic position, allowing Begich to consolidate endorsements and leverage his family political legacy in the Republican-leaning state, where GOP presidential nominees have dominated since statehood. Democrats are recruiting challengers like pastor Matt Schultz amid national targeting by groups like the DCCC and Swing Left, but lack a high-profile incumbent keeps the race competitive ahead of the August 18 primary; recent Senate polling favoring Peltola has not yet spilled over to boost House Democratic odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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