Trader consensus in the MT-02 House race overwhelmingly favors the Republican Party at 91.5%, driven by the district's consistent Republican lean—rated R+8 by Cook Political Report—and nominee Troy Downing's commanding leads in recent polls, including a September RMG Research survey showing him up 16 points over Democrat Tom Winter. This open-seat contest, following incumbent Matt Rosendale's decision not to seek re-election, saw Downing emerge from a competitive GOP primary with strong fundraising exceeding $1.5 million and endorsements from party leaders. No major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, with early voting trends aligning with historical Republican turnout advantages in this rural, conservative district. While dominant, odds could shift via a late Republican scandal, legal challenge, or unprecedented Democratic surge before the November 5 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
92%
民主党
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the MT-02 House race overwhelmingly favors the Republican Party at 91.5%, driven by the district's consistent Republican lean—rated R+8 by Cook Political Report—and nominee Troy Downing's commanding leads in recent polls, including a September RMG Research survey showing him up 16 points over Democrat Tom Winter. This open-seat contest, following incumbent Matt Rosendale's decision not to seek re-election, saw Downing emerge from a competitive GOP primary with strong fundraising exceeding $1.5 million and endorsements from party leaders. No major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, with early voting trends aligning with historical Republican turnout advantages in this rural, conservative district. While dominant, odds could shift via a late Republican scandal, legal challenge, or unprecedented Democratic surge before the November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the MT-02 House race overwhelmingly favors the Republican Party at 91.5%, driven by the district's consistent Republican lean—rated R+8 by Cook Political Report—and nominee Troy Downing's commanding leads in recent polls, including a September RMG Research survey showing him up 16 points over Democrat Tom Winter. This open-seat contest, following incumbent Matt Rosendale's decision not to seek re-election, saw Downing emerge from a competitive GOP primary with strong fundraising exceeding $1.5 million and endorsements from party leaders. No major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, with early voting trends aligning with historical Republican turnout advantages in this rural, conservative district. While dominant, odds could shift via a late Republican scandal, legal challenge, or unprecedented Democratic surge before the November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the MT-02 House race overwhelmingly favors the Republican Party at 91.5%, driven by the district's consistent Republican lean—rated R+8 by Cook Political Report—and nominee Troy Downing's commanding leads in recent polls, including a September RMG Research survey showing him up 16 points over Democrat Tom Winter. This open-seat contest, following incumbent Matt Rosendale's decision not to seek re-election, saw Downing emerge from a competitive GOP primary with strong fundraising exceeding $1.5 million and endorsements from party leaders. No major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, with early voting trends aligning with historical Republican turnout advantages in this rural, conservative district. While dominant, odds could shift via a late Republican scandal, legal challenge, or unprecedented Democratic surge before the November 5 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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