Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s 91.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. The district’s strong Republican lean, evidenced by its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Downing’s 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points, underpins trader expectations ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling shows limited Democratic name recognition among primary voters, with candidates facing low visibility and modest fundraising through early May. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Republican. A late primary upset, significant scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent could still shift dynamics before the June 2 primaries and general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,400 交易量
$11,400 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$11,400 交易量
$11,400 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,247 交易量
92%
民主党
$3,153 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s 91.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. The district’s strong Republican lean, evidenced by its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Downing’s 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points, underpins trader expectations ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling shows limited Democratic name recognition among primary voters, with candidates facing low visibility and modest fundraising through early May. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Republican. A late primary upset, significant scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent could still shift dynamics before the June 2 primaries and general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$11,400结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s 91.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. The district’s strong Republican lean, evidenced by its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Downing’s 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points, underpins trader expectations ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling shows limited Democratic name recognition among primary voters, with candidates facing low visibility and modest fundraising through early May. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Republican. A late primary upset, significant scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent could still shift dynamics before the June 2 primaries and general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,400结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s 91.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. The district’s strong Republican lean, evidenced by its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Downing’s 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points, underpins trader expectations ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling shows limited Democratic name recognition among primary voters, with candidates facing low visibility and modest fundraising through early May. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Republican. A late primary upset, significant scandal, or health event affecting the incumbent could still shift dynamics before the June 2 primaries and general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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