Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's (R) U.S. Senate bid, leans solidly Republican with a Cook PVI of R+7 and Donald Trump carrying it by 15 points in 2024; historical GOP margins exceed 25 points, as Barr won 63%-37% last cycle. Trader consensus at 79.5% for Republicans reflects this partisan tilt and a competitive five-candidate GOP primary featuring state Rep. Ryan Dotson, former Sen. Ralph Alvarado, and Adam Perez Arquette, bolstered by a recent March 19 candidate forum. Democrats face a fragmented seven-candidate field including Zach Dembo and former Rep. Cherlynn Stevenson, with no public polling after March 26 primary debates on affordability and foreign policy, keeping odds stable ahead of the May 19 closed primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
80%
民主党
20%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
80%
民主党
$0 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's (R) U.S. Senate bid, leans solidly Republican with a Cook PVI of R+7 and Donald Trump carrying it by 15 points in 2024; historical GOP margins exceed 25 points, as Barr won 63%-37% last cycle. Trader consensus at 79.5% for Republicans reflects this partisan tilt and a competitive five-candidate GOP primary featuring state Rep. Ryan Dotson, former Sen. Ralph Alvarado, and Adam Perez Arquette, bolstered by a recent March 19 candidate forum. Democrats face a fragmented seven-candidate field including Zach Dembo and former Rep. Cherlynn Stevenson, with no public polling after March 26 primary debates on affordability and foreign policy, keeping odds stable ahead of the May 19 closed primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's (R) U.S. Senate bid, leans solidly Republican with a Cook PVI of R+7 and Donald Trump carrying it by 15 points in 2024; historical GOP margins exceed 25 points, as Barr won 63%-37% last cycle. Trader consensus at 79.5% for Republicans reflects this partisan tilt and a competitive five-candidate GOP primary featuring state Rep. Ryan Dotson, former Sen. Ralph Alvarado, and Adam Perez Arquette, bolstered by a recent March 19 candidate forum. Democrats face a fragmented seven-candidate field including Zach Dembo and former Rep. Cherlynn Stevenson, with no public polling after March 26 primary debates on affordability and foreign policy, keeping odds stable ahead of the May 19 closed primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's (R) U.S. Senate bid, leans solidly Republican with a Cook PVI of R+7 and Donald Trump carrying it by 15 points in 2024; historical GOP margins exceed 25 points, as Barr won 63%-37% last cycle. Trader consensus at 79.5% for Republicans reflects this partisan tilt and a competitive five-candidate GOP primary featuring state Rep. Ryan Dotson, former Sen. Ralph Alvarado, and Adam Perez Arquette, bolstered by a recent March 19 candidate forum. Democrats face a fragmented seven-candidate field including Zach Dembo and former Rep. Cherlynn Stevenson, with no public polling after March 26 primary debates on affordability and foreign policy, keeping odds stable ahead of the May 19 closed primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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