The open Kentucky 6th Congressional District seat, vacated by incumbent Andy Barr's Senate bid, remains firmly tilted Republican per its R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, where Trump carried it by 15 points in 2024—driving trader consensus to 80% odds for a GOP hold despite no polling yet. Recent Democratic primary debates on March 4 featuring Zach Dembo, David Kloiber, Erin Petrey, and Cherlynn Stevenson among six candidates, alongside a crowded five-way Republican primary with Ralph Alvarado and Ryan Dotson, have highlighted fragmented fields without evidence of Democratic momentum, as a March 13 Politico analysis questioned flip potential in this historically red battleground. Primaries on May 19 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
73%
民主党
20%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$2,379 交易量
73%
民主党
$0 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Kentucky 6th Congressional District seat, vacated by incumbent Andy Barr's Senate bid, remains firmly tilted Republican per its R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, where Trump carried it by 15 points in 2024—driving trader consensus to 80% odds for a GOP hold despite no polling yet. Recent Democratic primary debates on March 4 featuring Zach Dembo, David Kloiber, Erin Petrey, and Cherlynn Stevenson among six candidates, alongside a crowded five-way Republican primary with Ralph Alvarado and Ryan Dotson, have highlighted fragmented fields without evidence of Democratic momentum, as a March 13 Politico analysis questioned flip potential in this historically red battleground. Primaries on May 19 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$2,210结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Kentucky 6th Congressional District seat, vacated by incumbent Andy Barr's Senate bid, remains firmly tilted Republican per its R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, where Trump carried it by 15 points in 2024—driving trader consensus to 80% odds for a GOP hold despite no polling yet. Recent Democratic primary debates on March 4 featuring Zach Dembo, David Kloiber, Erin Petrey, and Cherlynn Stevenson among six candidates, alongside a crowded five-way Republican primary with Ralph Alvarado and Ryan Dotson, have highlighted fragmented fields without evidence of Democratic momentum, as a March 13 Politico analysis questioned flip potential in this historically red battleground. Primaries on May 19 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,210结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Kentucky 6th Congressional District seat, vacated by incumbent Andy Barr's Senate bid, remains firmly tilted Republican per its R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections, where Trump carried it by 15 points in 2024—driving trader consensus to 80% odds for a GOP hold despite no polling yet. Recent Democratic primary debates on March 4 featuring Zach Dembo, David Kloiber, Erin Petrey, and Cherlynn Stevenson among six candidates, alongside a crowded five-way Republican primary with Ralph Alvarado and Ryan Dotson, have highlighted fragmented fields without evidence of Democratic momentum, as a March 13 Politico analysis questioned flip potential in this historically red battleground. Primaries on May 19 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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