**Republican incumbent Mike Carey leads trader consensus at 75.5% in the OH-15 House race due to the district's R+5 partisan lean under Ohio's new congressional map redrawn in October 2025, bolstering GOP structural advantages.** Carey's prior uncompetitive reelections and strong fundraising position him as the likely Republican nominee ahead of the May 5 primaries, where he faces challenger Jeff Ronan. Democrats lack a clear frontrunner, with primary contenders including Don Leonard, recently cited for a noise violation at a Grove City protest on March 30. No recent polls show Democratic momentum, reflecting the district's historical Republican dominance and incumbency edge in this midterm cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
76%
民主党
25%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$0 交易量
76%
民主党
$2,065 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Mike Carey leads trader consensus at 75.5% in the OH-15 House race due to the district's R+5 partisan lean under Ohio's new congressional map redrawn in October 2025, bolstering GOP structural advantages.** Carey's prior uncompetitive reelections and strong fundraising position him as the likely Republican nominee ahead of the May 5 primaries, where he faces challenger Jeff Ronan. Democrats lack a clear frontrunner, with primary contenders including Don Leonard, recently cited for a noise violation at a Grove City protest on March 30. No recent polls show Democratic momentum, reflecting the district's historical Republican dominance and incumbency edge in this midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$2,065结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Mike Carey leads trader consensus at 75.5% in the OH-15 House race due to the district's R+5 partisan lean under Ohio's new congressional map redrawn in October 2025, bolstering GOP structural advantages.** Carey's prior uncompetitive reelections and strong fundraising position him as the likely Republican nominee ahead of the May 5 primaries, where he faces challenger Jeff Ronan. Democrats lack a clear frontrunner, with primary contenders including Don Leonard, recently cited for a noise violation at a Grove City protest on March 30. No recent polls show Democratic momentum, reflecting the district's historical Republican dominance and incumbency edge in this midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,065结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Mike Carey leads trader consensus at 75.5% in the OH-15 House race due to the district's R+5 partisan lean under Ohio's new congressional map redrawn in October 2025, bolstering GOP structural advantages.** Carey's prior uncompetitive reelections and strong fundraising position him as the likely Republican nominee ahead of the May 5 primaries, where he faces challenger Jeff Ronan. Democrats lack a clear frontrunner, with primary contenders including Don Leonard, recently cited for a noise violation at a Grove City protest on March 30. No recent polls show Democratic momentum, reflecting the district's historical Republican dominance and incumbency edge in this midterm cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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