Doly Begum's near-certain frontrunner status in the Scarborough Southwest federal by-election stems from her incumbency advantage as the former Ontario NDP MPP for the riding, bolstered by a March Mainstreet poll showing Liberals at 57% against Conservatives at 22% and NDP at 15%, with 338Canada projections holding steady at 61.5% Liberal as of late March. Advance polls opened April 3 amid active campaigning, including a recent candidates' forum, reinforcing trader consensus on her path to victory ahead of election day April 13. Realistic challenges would require a late scandal, voter backlash to her party switch, or dismal Liberal turnout in this safe Liberal seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner
Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner
Doly Begum 98.8%
Diana Filipova <1%
Fatima Shaban <1%
April Francisco <1%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
Doly Begum
99%
Diana Filipova
1%
Fatima Shaban
1%
April Francisco
<1%
Peter Koubakis
<1%
Pooja Malhotra
<1%
Lyall Sanders
<1%
David Vedova
<1%
Doly Begum 98.8%
Diana Filipova <1%
Fatima Shaban <1%
April Francisco <1%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
Doly Begum
$3,414 交易量
99%
Diana Filipova
$431 交易量
1%
Fatima Shaban
$358 交易量
1%
April Francisco
$431 交易量
<1%
Peter Koubakis
$452 交易量
<1%
Pooja Malhotra
$431 交易量
<1%
Lyall Sanders
$431 交易量
<1%
David Vedova
$432 交易量
<1%
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Doly Begum's near-certain frontrunner status in the Scarborough Southwest federal by-election stems from her incumbency advantage as the former Ontario NDP MPP for the riding, bolstered by a March Mainstreet poll showing Liberals at 57% against Conservatives at 22% and NDP at 15%, with 338Canada projections holding steady at 61.5% Liberal as of late March. Advance polls opened April 3 amid active campaigning, including a recent candidates' forum, reinforcing trader consensus on her path to victory ahead of election day April 13. Realistic challenges would require a late scandal, voter backlash to her party switch, or dismal Liberal turnout in this safe Liberal seat.
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
交易量
$6,380结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Doly Begum's near-certain frontrunner status in the Scarborough Southwest federal by-election stems from her incumbency advantage as the former Ontario NDP MPP for the riding, bolstered by a March Mainstreet poll showing Liberals at 57% against Conservatives at 22% and NDP at 15%, with 338Canada projections holding steady at 61.5% Liberal as of late March. Advance polls opened April 3 amid active campaigning, including a recent candidates' forum, reinforcing trader consensus on her path to victory ahead of election day April 13. Realistic challenges would require a late scandal, voter backlash to her party switch, or dismal Liberal turnout in this safe Liberal seat.
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
交易量
$6,380结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Doly Begum's near-certain frontrunner status in the Scarborough Southwest federal by-election stems from her incumbency advantage as the former Ontario NDP MPP for the riding, bolstered by a March Mainstreet poll showing Liberals at 57% against Conservatives at 22% and NDP at 15%, with 338Canada projections holding steady at 61.5% Liberal as of late March. Advance polls opened April 3 amid active campaigning, including a recent candidates' forum, reinforcing trader consensus on her path to victory ahead of election day April 13. Realistic challenges would require a late scandal, voter backlash to her party switch, or dismal Liberal turnout in this safe Liberal seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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