The Democratic Party holds a strong position in California's 21st Congressional District due to its D+5 partisan voting index and the presence of longtime incumbent Jim Costa, who won reelection in 2024 with 52.6 percent of the vote. The district's Central Valley composition, including portions of Fresno and Tulare counties, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by a top-two primary system that typically advances at least one Democrat. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic ahead of the June 2 primary and November general election. Multiple challengers from both parties have entered the primary, yet the structural advantages and historical margins sustain trader consensus around an overwhelming Democratic edge for the general election winner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
88%
共和党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,190 交易量
88%
共和党
$1,694 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a strong position in California's 21st Congressional District due to its D+5 partisan voting index and the presence of longtime incumbent Jim Costa, who won reelection in 2024 with 52.6 percent of the vote. The district's Central Valley composition, including portions of Fresno and Tulare counties, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by a top-two primary system that typically advances at least one Democrat. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic ahead of the June 2 primary and November general election. Multiple challengers from both parties have entered the primary, yet the structural advantages and historical margins sustain trader consensus around an overwhelming Democratic edge for the general election winner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$4,884结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a strong position in California's 21st Congressional District due to its D+5 partisan voting index and the presence of longtime incumbent Jim Costa, who won reelection in 2024 with 52.6 percent of the vote. The district's Central Valley composition, including portions of Fresno and Tulare counties, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by a top-two primary system that typically advances at least one Democrat. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic ahead of the June 2 primary and November general election. Multiple challengers from both parties have entered the primary, yet the structural advantages and historical margins sustain trader consensus around an overwhelming Democratic edge for the general election winner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,884结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a strong position in California's 21st Congressional District due to its D+5 partisan voting index and the presence of longtime incumbent Jim Costa, who won reelection in 2024 with 52.6 percent of the vote. The district's Central Valley composition, including portions of Fresno and Tulare counties, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by a top-two primary system that typically advances at least one Democrat. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Democratic ahead of the June 2 primary and November general election. Multiple challengers from both parties have entered the primary, yet the structural advantages and historical margins sustain trader consensus around an overwhelming Democratic edge for the general election winner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题