California’s 3rd congressional district underwent significant redistricting under Proposition 50, approved by voters in November 2025, shifting its partisan lean from competitive to solidly Democratic. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously representing the 6th district, is seeking the seat, while Republican incumbent Kevin Kiley faces a steep challenge in the altered boundaries. Nonpartisan primary ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s new voter composition. The June 2 primary and November general election timeline, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in candidate positioning or external events, underpin the market’s strong consensus on a Democratic outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,169 交易量
$26,169 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
89%
共和党
5%
$26,169 交易量
$26,169 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,113 交易量
89%
共和党
$12,056 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 3rd congressional district underwent significant redistricting under Proposition 50, approved by voters in November 2025, shifting its partisan lean from competitive to solidly Democratic. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously representing the 6th district, is seeking the seat, while Republican incumbent Kevin Kiley faces a steep challenge in the altered boundaries. Nonpartisan primary ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s new voter composition. The June 2 primary and November general election timeline, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in candidate positioning or external events, underpin the market’s strong consensus on a Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$26,169结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 3rd congressional district underwent significant redistricting under Proposition 50, approved by voters in November 2025, shifting its partisan lean from competitive to solidly Democratic. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously representing the 6th district, is seeking the seat, while Republican incumbent Kevin Kiley faces a steep challenge in the altered boundaries. Nonpartisan primary ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s new voter composition. The June 2 primary and November general election timeline, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in candidate positioning or external events, underpin the market’s strong consensus on a Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,169结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 3rd congressional district underwent significant redistricting under Proposition 50, approved by voters in November 2025, shifting its partisan lean from competitive to solidly Democratic. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously representing the 6th district, is seeking the seat, while Republican incumbent Kevin Kiley faces a steep challenge in the altered boundaries. Nonpartisan primary ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s new voter composition. The June 2 primary and November general election timeline, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in candidate positioning or external events, underpin the market’s strong consensus on a Democratic outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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