Recent redistricting under California Proposition 50 has shifted the 3rd Congressional District toward a safe Democratic partisan lean, with voter registration favoring Democrats and historical voting patterns reflecting that advantage. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th District, entered the race after the maps passed, bringing established name recognition and alignment with northern Sacramento County voters ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing there, while Republican contenders operate under the revised map's structural barriers and lack of an incumbent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these factors and the low likelihood of a general-election reversal absent major late developments such as a primary surprise or significant turnout shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,169 交易量
$26,169 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
91%
共和党
8%
$26,169 交易量
$26,169 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,113 交易量
91%
共和党
$12,056 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting under California Proposition 50 has shifted the 3rd Congressional District toward a safe Democratic partisan lean, with voter registration favoring Democrats and historical voting patterns reflecting that advantage. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th District, entered the race after the maps passed, bringing established name recognition and alignment with northern Sacramento County voters ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing there, while Republican contenders operate under the revised map's structural barriers and lack of an incumbent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these factors and the low likelihood of a general-election reversal absent major late developments such as a primary surprise or significant turnout shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$26,169结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting under California Proposition 50 has shifted the 3rd Congressional District toward a safe Democratic partisan lean, with voter registration favoring Democrats and historical voting patterns reflecting that advantage. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th District, entered the race after the maps passed, bringing established name recognition and alignment with northern Sacramento County voters ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing there, while Republican contenders operate under the revised map's structural barriers and lack of an incumbent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these factors and the low likelihood of a general-election reversal absent major late developments such as a primary surprise or significant turnout shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,169结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting under California Proposition 50 has shifted the 3rd Congressional District toward a safe Democratic partisan lean, with voter registration favoring Democrats and historical voting patterns reflecting that advantage. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th District, entered the race after the maps passed, bringing established name recognition and alignment with northern Sacramento County voters ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing there, while Republican contenders operate under the revised map's structural barriers and lack of an incumbent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these factors and the low likelihood of a general-election reversal absent major late developments such as a primary surprise or significant turnout shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题