California’s 3rd congressional district has shifted to a solidly Democratic seat following voter approval of Proposition 50 redistricting maps in November 2025, which added northern Sacramento County territory and produced a partisan lean favoring Democrats by double digits in recent presidential results. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, who previously represented the neighboring 6th district, quickly relocated his campaign to the new boundaries and leads a crowded primary field that also includes Chris Bennett and Heidi Hall. Republican challengers such as Christine Bish face an uphill path in a district where Democratic voter registration now exceeds 39 percent. With the June 2 primary less than two weeks away and the general election still months ahead, traders have priced in a strong Democratic advantage, viewing the structural realignment and Bera’s established fundraising and name recognition as decisive factors in the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,169 交易量
$26,169 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
89%
共和党
5%
$26,169 交易量
$26,169 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,113 交易量
89%
共和党
$12,056 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 3rd congressional district has shifted to a solidly Democratic seat following voter approval of Proposition 50 redistricting maps in November 2025, which added northern Sacramento County territory and produced a partisan lean favoring Democrats by double digits in recent presidential results. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, who previously represented the neighboring 6th district, quickly relocated his campaign to the new boundaries and leads a crowded primary field that also includes Chris Bennett and Heidi Hall. Republican challengers such as Christine Bish face an uphill path in a district where Democratic voter registration now exceeds 39 percent. With the June 2 primary less than two weeks away and the general election still months ahead, traders have priced in a strong Democratic advantage, viewing the structural realignment and Bera’s established fundraising and name recognition as decisive factors in the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$26,169结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 3rd congressional district has shifted to a solidly Democratic seat following voter approval of Proposition 50 redistricting maps in November 2025, which added northern Sacramento County territory and produced a partisan lean favoring Democrats by double digits in recent presidential results. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, who previously represented the neighboring 6th district, quickly relocated his campaign to the new boundaries and leads a crowded primary field that also includes Chris Bennett and Heidi Hall. Republican challengers such as Christine Bish face an uphill path in a district where Democratic voter registration now exceeds 39 percent. With the June 2 primary less than two weeks away and the general election still months ahead, traders have priced in a strong Democratic advantage, viewing the structural realignment and Bera’s established fundraising and name recognition as decisive factors in the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,169结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 3rd congressional district has shifted to a solidly Democratic seat following voter approval of Proposition 50 redistricting maps in November 2025, which added northern Sacramento County territory and produced a partisan lean favoring Democrats by double digits in recent presidential results. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, who previously represented the neighboring 6th district, quickly relocated his campaign to the new boundaries and leads a crowded primary field that also includes Chris Bennett and Heidi Hall. Republican challengers such as Christine Bish face an uphill path in a district where Democratic voter registration now exceeds 39 percent. With the June 2 primary less than two weeks away and the general election still months ahead, traders have priced in a strong Democratic advantage, viewing the structural realignment and Bera’s established fundraising and name recognition as decisive factors in the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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