Florida's 16th congressional district maintains a clear Republican partisan advantage under the congressional map enacted in May 2026, which analysts project will contribute to a statewide 24-4 GOP edge and shows former President Trump carrying the seat by double digits in prior voting patterns. Longtime incumbent Vern Buchanan's retirement has created an open seat ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, drawing multiple Republican contenders while Democratic candidates remain focused on their own primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's underlying lean and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment that align with current trader consensus on party outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,587 交易量
$17,587 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
26%
$17,587 交易量
$17,587 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,760 交易量
70%
民主党
$11,827 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district maintains a clear Republican partisan advantage under the congressional map enacted in May 2026, which analysts project will contribute to a statewide 24-4 GOP edge and shows former President Trump carrying the seat by double digits in prior voting patterns. Longtime incumbent Vern Buchanan's retirement has created an open seat ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, drawing multiple Republican contenders while Democratic candidates remain focused on their own primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's underlying lean and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment that align with current trader consensus on party outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$17,587结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district maintains a clear Republican partisan advantage under the congressional map enacted in May 2026, which analysts project will contribute to a statewide 24-4 GOP edge and shows former President Trump carrying the seat by double digits in prior voting patterns. Longtime incumbent Vern Buchanan's retirement has created an open seat ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, drawing multiple Republican contenders while Democratic candidates remain focused on their own primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's underlying lean and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment that align with current trader consensus on party outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,587结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district maintains a clear Republican partisan advantage under the congressional map enacted in May 2026, which analysts project will contribute to a statewide 24-4 GOP edge and shows former President Trump carrying the seat by double digits in prior voting patterns. Longtime incumbent Vern Buchanan's retirement has created an open seat ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, drawing multiple Republican contenders while Democratic candidates remain focused on their own primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's underlying lean and limited recent shifts in voter sentiment that align with current trader consensus on party outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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