Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 85% for Arizona's 5th Congressional District House seat due to its strong R+10 partisan lean, where recent incumbents secured 20-plus-point victories in 2020, 2022, and 2024 general elections. The open race stems from Rep. Andy Biggs' January 2025 shift to the gubernatorial contest, yielding a competitive GOP primary featuring President Trump's November 2025-endorsed former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb alongside well-funded state Sen. Daniel Keenan and others. Democrats field a fragmented primary with no standout challengers, per filings ahead of the April 6 deadline. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with July 21 primaries poised to select a formidable GOP nominee for the November 3 ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
85%
民主党
14%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$0 交易量
85%
民主党
$0 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 85% for Arizona's 5th Congressional District House seat due to its strong R+10 partisan lean, where recent incumbents secured 20-plus-point victories in 2020, 2022, and 2024 general elections. The open race stems from Rep. Andy Biggs' January 2025 shift to the gubernatorial contest, yielding a competitive GOP primary featuring President Trump's November 2025-endorsed former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb alongside well-funded state Sen. Daniel Keenan and others. Democrats field a fragmented primary with no standout challengers, per filings ahead of the April 6 deadline. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with July 21 primaries poised to select a formidable GOP nominee for the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 85% for Arizona's 5th Congressional District House seat due to its strong R+10 partisan lean, where recent incumbents secured 20-plus-point victories in 2020, 2022, and 2024 general elections. The open race stems from Rep. Andy Biggs' January 2025 shift to the gubernatorial contest, yielding a competitive GOP primary featuring President Trump's November 2025-endorsed former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb alongside well-funded state Sen. Daniel Keenan and others. Democrats field a fragmented primary with no standout challengers, per filings ahead of the April 6 deadline. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with July 21 primaries poised to select a formidable GOP nominee for the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 85% for Arizona's 5th Congressional District House seat due to its strong R+10 partisan lean, where recent incumbents secured 20-plus-point victories in 2020, 2022, and 2024 general elections. The open race stems from Rep. Andy Biggs' January 2025 shift to the gubernatorial contest, yielding a competitive GOP primary featuring President Trump's November 2025-endorsed former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb alongside well-funded state Sen. Daniel Keenan and others. Democrats field a fragmented primary with no standout challengers, per filings ahead of the April 6 deadline. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with July 21 primaries poised to select a formidable GOP nominee for the November 3 ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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