Michigan's 6th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning areas including Ann Arbor and parts of Washtenaw and Wayne counties, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Debbie Dingell, first elected in 2014 and part of a family with nearly a century of representation in southeastern Michigan, won her last general election by 24 points and faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a 92 percent implied probability. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national shift or an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,679 交易量
$22,679 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
6%
$22,679 交易量
$22,679 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$12,473 交易量
92%
共和党
$10,206 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 6th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning areas including Ann Arbor and parts of Washtenaw and Wayne counties, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Debbie Dingell, first elected in 2014 and part of a family with nearly a century of representation in southeastern Michigan, won her last general election by 24 points and faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a 92 percent implied probability. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national shift or an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$22,679结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 6th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning areas including Ann Arbor and parts of Washtenaw and Wayne counties, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Debbie Dingell, first elected in 2014 and part of a family with nearly a century of representation in southeastern Michigan, won her last general election by 24 points and faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a 92 percent implied probability. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national shift or an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,679结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 6th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning areas including Ann Arbor and parts of Washtenaw and Wayne counties, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Debbie Dingell, first elected in 2014 and part of a family with nearly a century of representation in southeastern Michigan, won her last general election by 24 points and faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a 92 percent implied probability. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national shift or an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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