The strong Democratic lean of California's 28th congressional district, reflected in its D+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Judy Chu, first elected in 2009 and re-elected with nearly 65 percent in 2024, holds clear advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and endorsements heading into the June 2 top-two primary against Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato. Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts reinforce the positioning, though primary results and any shifts in Los Angeles County turnout could still influence the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$91,669 交易量
$91,669 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
90%
共和党
11%
$91,669 交易量
$91,669 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$41,366 交易量
90%
共和党
$50,303 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 28th congressional district, reflected in its D+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Judy Chu, first elected in 2009 and re-elected with nearly 65 percent in 2024, holds clear advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and endorsements heading into the June 2 top-two primary against Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato. Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts reinforce the positioning, though primary results and any shifts in Los Angeles County turnout could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$91,669结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 28th congressional district, reflected in its D+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Judy Chu, first elected in 2009 and re-elected with nearly 65 percent in 2024, holds clear advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and endorsements heading into the June 2 top-two primary against Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato. Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts reinforce the positioning, though primary results and any shifts in Los Angeles County turnout could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$91,669结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 28th congressional district, reflected in its D+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Judy Chu, first elected in 2009 and re-elected with nearly 65 percent in 2024, holds clear advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and endorsements heading into the June 2 top-two primary against Democratic challenger Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato. Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts reinforce the positioning, though primary results and any shifts in Los Angeles County turnout could still influence the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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