California's 35th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage, reflected in its D+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Norma Torres's 2024 reelection with 58 percent of the vote against the same Republican challenger. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features limited opposition, with no significant shifts in voter registration or recent polling data indicating a competitive general election contest. Trader consensus pricing incorporates the district's demographic profile, including a majority-Hispanic population in the Inland Empire, historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, and the absence of major campaign developments or external events that typically alter safe-seat probabilities. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpectedly strong Republican primary performance or unusually low Democratic turnout in November, though structural factors such as the district's partisan lean make a flip improbable absent major national realignment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,988 交易量
$32,988 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
5%
$32,988 交易量
$32,988 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$19,883 交易量
96%
共和党
$13,106 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 35th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage, reflected in its D+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Norma Torres's 2024 reelection with 58 percent of the vote against the same Republican challenger. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features limited opposition, with no significant shifts in voter registration or recent polling data indicating a competitive general election contest. Trader consensus pricing incorporates the district's demographic profile, including a majority-Hispanic population in the Inland Empire, historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, and the absence of major campaign developments or external events that typically alter safe-seat probabilities. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpectedly strong Republican primary performance or unusually low Democratic turnout in November, though structural factors such as the district's partisan lean make a flip improbable absent major national realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$32,988结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 35th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage, reflected in its D+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Norma Torres's 2024 reelection with 58 percent of the vote against the same Republican challenger. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features limited opposition, with no significant shifts in voter registration or recent polling data indicating a competitive general election contest. Trader consensus pricing incorporates the district's demographic profile, including a majority-Hispanic population in the Inland Empire, historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, and the absence of major campaign developments or external events that typically alter safe-seat probabilities. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpectedly strong Republican primary performance or unusually low Democratic turnout in November, though structural factors such as the district's partisan lean make a flip improbable absent major national realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,988结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 35th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage, reflected in its D+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Norma Torres's 2024 reelection with 58 percent of the vote against the same Republican challenger. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary features limited opposition, with no significant shifts in voter registration or recent polling data indicating a competitive general election contest. Trader consensus pricing incorporates the district's demographic profile, including a majority-Hispanic population in the Inland Empire, historical turnout patterns favoring Democrats, and the absence of major campaign developments or external events that typically alter safe-seat probabilities. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpectedly strong Republican primary performance or unusually low Democratic turnout in November, though structural factors such as the district's partisan lean make a flip improbable absent major national realignment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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