Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne holds a clear advantage in Texas’s 24th congressional district, a suburban Dallas seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index that has delivered comfortable victories in recent cycles. Traders assign her party a 75% implied probability of winning the November 3 general election, reflecting her prior 21-point margin, unopposed Republican primary, and the district’s limited shifts under the latest map. On the Democratic side, Kevin Burge and TJ Ware advanced from the March primary to a May 26 runoff, but neither has yet mounted a sustained challenge capable of closing the structural gap. National midterm dynamics and turnout patterns could still influence the outcome, yet current pricing aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated Republican-held seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,395 交易量
$26,395 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
74%
民主党
24%
$26,395 交易量
$26,395 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,466 交易量
74%
民主党
$14,929 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne holds a clear advantage in Texas’s 24th congressional district, a suburban Dallas seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index that has delivered comfortable victories in recent cycles. Traders assign her party a 75% implied probability of winning the November 3 general election, reflecting her prior 21-point margin, unopposed Republican primary, and the district’s limited shifts under the latest map. On the Democratic side, Kevin Burge and TJ Ware advanced from the March primary to a May 26 runoff, but neither has yet mounted a sustained challenge capable of closing the structural gap. National midterm dynamics and turnout patterns could still influence the outcome, yet current pricing aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated Republican-held seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$26,395结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne holds a clear advantage in Texas’s 24th congressional district, a suburban Dallas seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index that has delivered comfortable victories in recent cycles. Traders assign her party a 75% implied probability of winning the November 3 general election, reflecting her prior 21-point margin, unopposed Republican primary, and the district’s limited shifts under the latest map. On the Democratic side, Kevin Burge and TJ Ware advanced from the March primary to a May 26 runoff, but neither has yet mounted a sustained challenge capable of closing the structural gap. National midterm dynamics and turnout patterns could still influence the outcome, yet current pricing aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated Republican-held seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,395结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne holds a clear advantage in Texas’s 24th congressional district, a suburban Dallas seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index that has delivered comfortable victories in recent cycles. Traders assign her party a 75% implied probability of winning the November 3 general election, reflecting her prior 21-point margin, unopposed Republican primary, and the district’s limited shifts under the latest map. On the Democratic side, Kevin Burge and TJ Ware advanced from the March primary to a May 26 runoff, but neither has yet mounted a sustained challenge capable of closing the structural gap. National midterm dynamics and turnout patterns could still influence the outcome, yet current pricing aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated Republican-held seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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