Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Republican Party at 75.5% for the TX-24 House general election on November 3, 2026, driven by the district's R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne's unopposed March 3 Republican primary victory, signaling strong GOP unity. Van Duyne's 2024 reelection by 21 points in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth seat reinforces her position, with $2.6 million cash on hand dwarfing Democratic fundraising. The Democratic primary saw no majority, advancing Kevin Burge (48%) and TJ Ware (26%) to a May 26 runoff amid lower turnout, while forecasters like Cook rate the race Solid Republican, limiting Democratic paths despite potential national headwinds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$16,193 交易量
$16,193 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
76%
民主党
23%
$16,193 交易量
$16,193 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,499 交易量
76%
民主党
$10,694 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Republican Party at 75.5% for the TX-24 House general election on November 3, 2026, driven by the district's R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne's unopposed March 3 Republican primary victory, signaling strong GOP unity. Van Duyne's 2024 reelection by 21 points in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth seat reinforces her position, with $2.6 million cash on hand dwarfing Democratic fundraising. The Democratic primary saw no majority, advancing Kevin Burge (48%) and TJ Ware (26%) to a May 26 runoff amid lower turnout, while forecasters like Cook rate the race Solid Republican, limiting Democratic paths despite potential national headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$16,193结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Republican Party at 75.5% for the TX-24 House general election on November 3, 2026, driven by the district's R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne's unopposed March 3 Republican primary victory, signaling strong GOP unity. Van Duyne's 2024 reelection by 21 points in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth seat reinforces her position, with $2.6 million cash on hand dwarfing Democratic fundraising. The Democratic primary saw no majority, advancing Kevin Burge (48%) and TJ Ware (26%) to a May 26 runoff amid lower turnout, while forecasters like Cook rate the race Solid Republican, limiting Democratic paths despite potential national headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,193结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Republican Party at 75.5% for the TX-24 House general election on November 3, 2026, driven by the district's R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Beth Van Duyne's unopposed March 3 Republican primary victory, signaling strong GOP unity. Van Duyne's 2024 reelection by 21 points in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth seat reinforces her position, with $2.6 million cash on hand dwarfing Democratic fundraising. The Democratic primary saw no majority, advancing Kevin Burge (48%) and TJ Ware (26%) to a May 26 runoff amid lower turnout, while forecasters like Cook rate the race Solid Republican, limiting Democratic paths despite potential national headwinds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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