The open seat in South Carolina's 1st congressional district, created by incumbent Nancy Mace's decision to run for governor rather than seek re-election, has reinforced trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 69.5%. The district's R+6 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican rating from forecasters reflect longstanding GOP advantages in the Lowcountry, where recent cycles have produced reliable margins for the party. With primaries scheduled for June 9 and the general election on November 3, a crowded Republican field and limited Democratic momentum have kept probabilities stable, though narrow historical margins underscore sensitivity to nominee selection and turnout. An early head-to-head poll showed one leading Republican ahead of a Democratic contender by a slim margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$38,411 交易量
$38,411 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
31%
$38,411 交易量
$38,411 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,696 交易量
70%
民主党
$31,715 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina's 1st congressional district, created by incumbent Nancy Mace's decision to run for governor rather than seek re-election, has reinforced trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 69.5%. The district's R+6 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican rating from forecasters reflect longstanding GOP advantages in the Lowcountry, where recent cycles have produced reliable margins for the party. With primaries scheduled for June 9 and the general election on November 3, a crowded Republican field and limited Democratic momentum have kept probabilities stable, though narrow historical margins underscore sensitivity to nominee selection and turnout. An early head-to-head poll showed one leading Republican ahead of a Democratic contender by a slim margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$38,411结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina's 1st congressional district, created by incumbent Nancy Mace's decision to run for governor rather than seek re-election, has reinforced trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 69.5%. The district's R+6 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican rating from forecasters reflect longstanding GOP advantages in the Lowcountry, where recent cycles have produced reliable margins for the party. With primaries scheduled for June 9 and the general election on November 3, a crowded Republican field and limited Democratic momentum have kept probabilities stable, though narrow historical margins underscore sensitivity to nominee selection and turnout. An early head-to-head poll showed one leading Republican ahead of a Democratic contender by a slim margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,411结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in South Carolina's 1st congressional district, created by incumbent Nancy Mace's decision to run for governor rather than seek re-election, has reinforced trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 69.5%. The district's R+6 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican rating from forecasters reflect longstanding GOP advantages in the Lowcountry, where recent cycles have produced reliable margins for the party. With primaries scheduled for June 9 and the general election on November 3, a crowded Republican field and limited Democratic momentum have kept probabilities stable, though narrow historical margins underscore sensitivity to nominee selection and turnout. An early head-to-head poll showed one leading Republican ahead of a Democratic contender by a slim margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题