Incumbent Rep. Nancy Mace's departure to pursue the South Carolina governorship has opened the R+6 district, yet trader consensus prices a Republican general election victory at 77% due to the party's structural advantages and historical dominance, with ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican). The March 30 filing deadline revealed a crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates, including former Rep. Mark Sanford and well-funded Sam McCown, contrasting a smaller Democratic slate of seven lesser-known contenders like veteran Mac Deford. South Carolina Democrats' recent record recruitment announcements have not shifted odds significantly in this GOP stronghold, with primaries set for June 9 potentially consolidating the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
77%
民主党
21%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,109 交易量
77%
民主党
$0 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nancy Mace's departure to pursue the South Carolina governorship has opened the R+6 district, yet trader consensus prices a Republican general election victory at 77% due to the party's structural advantages and historical dominance, with ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican). The March 30 filing deadline revealed a crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates, including former Rep. Mark Sanford and well-funded Sam McCown, contrasting a smaller Democratic slate of seven lesser-known contenders like veteran Mac Deford. South Carolina Democrats' recent record recruitment announcements have not shifted odds significantly in this GOP stronghold, with primaries set for June 9 potentially consolidating the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$4,109结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nancy Mace's departure to pursue the South Carolina governorship has opened the R+6 district, yet trader consensus prices a Republican general election victory at 77% due to the party's structural advantages and historical dominance, with ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican). The March 30 filing deadline revealed a crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates, including former Rep. Mark Sanford and well-funded Sam McCown, contrasting a smaller Democratic slate of seven lesser-known contenders like veteran Mac Deford. South Carolina Democrats' recent record recruitment announcements have not shifted odds significantly in this GOP stronghold, with primaries set for June 9 potentially consolidating the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,109结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Nancy Mace's departure to pursue the South Carolina governorship has opened the R+6 district, yet trader consensus prices a Republican general election victory at 77% due to the party's structural advantages and historical dominance, with ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican). The March 30 filing deadline revealed a crowded Republican primary field of over 10 candidates, including former Rep. Mark Sanford and well-funded Sam McCown, contrasting a smaller Democratic slate of seven lesser-known contenders like veteran Mac Deford. South Carolina Democrats' recent record recruitment announcements have not shifted odds significantly in this GOP stronghold, with primaries set for June 9 potentially consolidating the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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