Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+18 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1993, secured unopposed nomination after the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election with substantial fundraising leads over Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and minor independent candidates. Historical results, including Scott's roughly 70 percent share in 2024, combined with the district's urban Hampton Roads composition and voting patterns in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpin the current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major candidate-specific development or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$63,234 交易量
$63,234 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$63,234 交易量
$63,234 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$21,571 交易量
97%
共和党
$41,664 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+18 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1993, secured unopposed nomination after the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election with substantial fundraising leads over Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and minor independent candidates. Historical results, including Scott's roughly 70 percent share in 2024, combined with the district's urban Hampton Roads composition and voting patterns in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpin the current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major candidate-specific development or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$63,234结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+18 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1993, secured unopposed nomination after the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election with substantial fundraising leads over Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and minor independent candidates. Historical results, including Scott's roughly 70 percent share in 2024, combined with the district's urban Hampton Roads composition and voting patterns in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpin the current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major candidate-specific development or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$63,234结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETVirginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+18 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, first elected in 1993, secured unopposed nomination after the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election with substantial fundraising leads over Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and minor independent candidates. Historical results, including Scott's roughly 70 percent share in 2024, combined with the district's urban Hampton Roads composition and voting patterns in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpin the current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major candidate-specific development or national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题