Texas's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22, placing it among the nation's most Republican-leaning seats and driving the strong trader consensus for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds emerged as the opposing nominee. Recent mid-decade redistricting further reinforced the district's conservative tilt, consistent with its historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Republican candidates. Ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. A late national partisan swing, incumbent retirement due to unforeseen circumstances, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,602 交易量
$23,602 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$23,602 交易量
$23,602 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,849 交易量
92%
民主党
$17,752 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22, placing it among the nation's most Republican-leaning seats and driving the strong trader consensus for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds emerged as the opposing nominee. Recent mid-decade redistricting further reinforced the district's conservative tilt, consistent with its historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Republican candidates. Ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. A late national partisan swing, incumbent retirement due to unforeseen circumstances, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$23,602结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22, placing it among the nation's most Republican-leaning seats and driving the strong trader consensus for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds emerged as the opposing nominee. Recent mid-decade redistricting further reinforced the district's conservative tilt, consistent with its historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Republican candidates. Ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. A late national partisan swing, incumbent retirement due to unforeseen circumstances, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,602结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+22, placing it among the nation's most Republican-leaning seats and driving the strong trader consensus for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds emerged as the opposing nominee. Recent mid-decade redistricting further reinforced the district's conservative tilt, consistent with its historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Republican candidates. Ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. A late national partisan swing, incumbent retirement due to unforeseen circumstances, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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