The Texas 11th congressional district's longstanding Republican dominance, confirmed by its Solid Republican rating and large prior election margins in West Texas, drives the Republican Party's 93% implied probability in this race. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and will face Democrat Claire Reynolds, who won her party's nomination that month, in the November 3 general election. No major shifts in district boundaries, candidate strength, or national conditions have emerged in recent months to narrow the gap. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include an unusually strong national Democratic wave or late developments affecting turnout or candidate viability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,919 交易量
$24,919 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$24,919 交易量
$24,919 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,676 交易量
93%
民主党
$18,243 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 11th congressional district's longstanding Republican dominance, confirmed by its Solid Republican rating and large prior election margins in West Texas, drives the Republican Party's 93% implied probability in this race. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and will face Democrat Claire Reynolds, who won her party's nomination that month, in the November 3 general election. No major shifts in district boundaries, candidate strength, or national conditions have emerged in recent months to narrow the gap. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include an unusually strong national Democratic wave or late developments affecting turnout or candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$24,919结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 11th congressional district's longstanding Republican dominance, confirmed by its Solid Republican rating and large prior election margins in West Texas, drives the Republican Party's 93% implied probability in this race. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and will face Democrat Claire Reynolds, who won her party's nomination that month, in the November 3 general election. No major shifts in district boundaries, candidate strength, or national conditions have emerged in recent months to narrow the gap. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include an unusually strong national Democratic wave or late developments affecting turnout or candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,919结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 11th congressional district's longstanding Republican dominance, confirmed by its Solid Republican rating and large prior election margins in West Texas, drives the Republican Party's 93% implied probability in this race. Incumbent August Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and will face Democrat Claire Reynolds, who won her party's nomination that month, in the November 3 general election. No major shifts in district boundaries, candidate strength, or national conditions have emerged in recent months to narrow the gap. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include an unusually strong national Democratic wave or late developments affecting turnout or candidate viability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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