Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Dave Joyce's entrenched advantage in this solidly Republican district (Cook PVI R+19). Joyce, first elected in a 2013 special election, has secured victories with 60-65% margins in recent cycles, bolstered by strong support in suburban and rural Northeast Ohio counties that delivered Trump landslide wins in 2020. No recent polls or developments challenge this positioning, with early voting underway amid stable GOP turnout trends. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health issues, or a dramatic Democratic mobilization, though historical precedents in safe districts make such reversals rare ahead of the November 5 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$16,218 交易量
$16,218 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$16,218 交易量
$16,218 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
92%
民主党
$16,218 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Dave Joyce's entrenched advantage in this solidly Republican district (Cook PVI R+19). Joyce, first elected in a 2013 special election, has secured victories with 60-65% margins in recent cycles, bolstered by strong support in suburban and rural Northeast Ohio counties that delivered Trump landslide wins in 2020. No recent polls or developments challenge this positioning, with early voting underway amid stable GOP turnout trends. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health issues, or a dramatic Democratic mobilization, though historical precedents in safe districts make such reversals rare ahead of the November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$16,218结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Dave Joyce's entrenched advantage in this solidly Republican district (Cook PVI R+19). Joyce, first elected in a 2013 special election, has secured victories with 60-65% margins in recent cycles, bolstered by strong support in suburban and rural Northeast Ohio counties that delivered Trump landslide wins in 2020. No recent polls or developments challenge this positioning, with early voting underway amid stable GOP turnout trends. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health issues, or a dramatic Democratic mobilization, though historical precedents in safe districts make such reversals rare ahead of the November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,218结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Dave Joyce's entrenched advantage in this solidly Republican district (Cook PVI R+19). Joyce, first elected in a 2013 special election, has secured victories with 60-65% margins in recent cycles, bolstered by strong support in suburban and rural Northeast Ohio counties that delivered Trump landslide wins in 2020. No recent polls or developments challenge this positioning, with early voting underway amid stable GOP turnout trends. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health issues, or a dramatic Democratic mobilization, though historical precedents in safe districts make such reversals rare ahead of the November 5 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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