Republican Mike Rulli claimed a commanding win in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House election on November 5, capturing around 68% of the vote against Democrat Jen Hardy with nearly all precincts reporting, propelling trader consensus to 91.5% for the Republican Party. The district's deep Republican tilt (R+18 partisan voting index), Rulli's earlier special election triumph replacing retiring incumbent Brad Wenstrup, and consistent pre-election polling advantages cemented this positioning, aligning with historical patterns in safe seats where incumbents exceed 60% comfortably. Certification by state officials is pending, but realistic challenges like a narrow-margin recount or legal disputes over absentee ballots appear remote given the blowout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$16,218 交易量
$16,218 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$16,218 交易量
$16,218 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
92%
民主党
$16,218 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Mike Rulli claimed a commanding win in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House election on November 5, capturing around 68% of the vote against Democrat Jen Hardy with nearly all precincts reporting, propelling trader consensus to 91.5% for the Republican Party. The district's deep Republican tilt (R+18 partisan voting index), Rulli's earlier special election triumph replacing retiring incumbent Brad Wenstrup, and consistent pre-election polling advantages cemented this positioning, aligning with historical patterns in safe seats where incumbents exceed 60% comfortably. Certification by state officials is pending, but realistic challenges like a narrow-margin recount or legal disputes over absentee ballots appear remote given the blowout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$16,218结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Mike Rulli claimed a commanding win in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House election on November 5, capturing around 68% of the vote against Democrat Jen Hardy with nearly all precincts reporting, propelling trader consensus to 91.5% for the Republican Party. The district's deep Republican tilt (R+18 partisan voting index), Rulli's earlier special election triumph replacing retiring incumbent Brad Wenstrup, and consistent pre-election polling advantages cemented this positioning, aligning with historical patterns in safe seats where incumbents exceed 60% comfortably. Certification by state officials is pending, but realistic challenges like a narrow-margin recount or legal disputes over absentee ballots appear remote given the blowout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,218结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Mike Rulli claimed a commanding win in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House election on November 5, capturing around 68% of the vote against Democrat Jen Hardy with nearly all precincts reporting, propelling trader consensus to 91.5% for the Republican Party. The district's deep Republican tilt (R+18 partisan voting index), Rulli's earlier special election triumph replacing retiring incumbent Brad Wenstrup, and consistent pre-election polling advantages cemented this positioning, aligning with historical patterns in safe seats where incumbents exceed 60% comfortably. Certification by state officials is pending, but realistic challenges like a narrow-margin recount or legal disputes over absentee ballots appear remote given the blowout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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