Incumbent Republican Carol Miller secured a commanding victory in West Virginia's 1st Congressional District on November 5, capturing 72% of the vote against Democrat Perennial Rice's 28%, as projected by major outlets like AP on election night. This outcome reflects the district's deep Republican tilt—Trump won it by over 40 points in 2020—and Miller's strong incumbency advantage in this rural, conservative stronghold focused on energy and manufacturing issues. With no recounts, legal challenges, or irregularities reported in the week since, traders price Republicans at 93.5% implied probability ahead of state certification by late November. A realistic upset would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a court-ordered revote, though none have surfaced.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$16,288 交易量
$16,288 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$16,288 交易量
$16,288 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$16,288 交易量
94%
民主党
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carol Miller secured a commanding victory in West Virginia's 1st Congressional District on November 5, capturing 72% of the vote against Democrat Perennial Rice's 28%, as projected by major outlets like AP on election night. This outcome reflects the district's deep Republican tilt—Trump won it by over 40 points in 2020—and Miller's strong incumbency advantage in this rural, conservative stronghold focused on energy and manufacturing issues. With no recounts, legal challenges, or irregularities reported in the week since, traders price Republicans at 93.5% implied probability ahead of state certification by late November. A realistic upset would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a court-ordered revote, though none have surfaced.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$16,288结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carol Miller secured a commanding victory in West Virginia's 1st Congressional District on November 5, capturing 72% of the vote against Democrat Perennial Rice's 28%, as projected by major outlets like AP on election night. This outcome reflects the district's deep Republican tilt—Trump won it by over 40 points in 2020—and Miller's strong incumbency advantage in this rural, conservative stronghold focused on energy and manufacturing issues. With no recounts, legal challenges, or irregularities reported in the week since, traders price Republicans at 93.5% implied probability ahead of state certification by late November. A realistic upset would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a court-ordered revote, though none have surfaced.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,288结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carol Miller secured a commanding victory in West Virginia's 1st Congressional District on November 5, capturing 72% of the vote against Democrat Perennial Rice's 28%, as projected by major outlets like AP on election night. This outcome reflects the district's deep Republican tilt—Trump won it by over 40 points in 2020—and Miller's strong incumbency advantage in this rural, conservative stronghold focused on energy and manufacturing issues. With no recounts, legal challenges, or irregularities reported in the week since, traders price Republicans at 93.5% implied probability ahead of state certification by late November. A realistic upset would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a court-ordered revote, though none have surfaced.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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