Republican Addison McDowell holds a strong position in North Carolina's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party a 77.5% implied probability of victory. The seat shifted sharply Republican after 2024 redistricting that added conservative-leaning counties, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 and enabling McDowell's 69% win in the prior cycle. He faces no primary opposition, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson secured his party's nomination in the March 3 primary. The district's structural Republican tilt, combined with incumbency and limited Democratic infrastructure, underpins current trader consensus, though the general election remains five months away.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,535 交易量
$16,535 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
78%
民主党
16%
$16,535 交易量
$16,535 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,431 交易量
78%
民主党
$7,104 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Addison McDowell holds a strong position in North Carolina's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party a 77.5% implied probability of victory. The seat shifted sharply Republican after 2024 redistricting that added conservative-leaning counties, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 and enabling McDowell's 69% win in the prior cycle. He faces no primary opposition, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson secured his party's nomination in the March 3 primary. The district's structural Republican tilt, combined with incumbency and limited Democratic infrastructure, underpins current trader consensus, though the general election remains five months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$16,535结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Addison McDowell holds a strong position in North Carolina's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party a 77.5% implied probability of victory. The seat shifted sharply Republican after 2024 redistricting that added conservative-leaning counties, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 and enabling McDowell's 69% win in the prior cycle. He faces no primary opposition, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson secured his party's nomination in the March 3 primary. The district's structural Republican tilt, combined with incumbency and limited Democratic infrastructure, underpins current trader consensus, though the general election remains five months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,535结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Addison McDowell holds a strong position in North Carolina's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, with traders assigning the Republican Party a 77.5% implied probability of victory. The seat shifted sharply Republican after 2024 redistricting that added conservative-leaning counties, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 and enabling McDowell's 69% win in the prior cycle. He faces no primary opposition, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson secured his party's nomination in the March 3 primary. The district's structural Republican tilt, combined with incumbency and limited Democratic infrastructure, underpins current trader consensus, though the general election remains five months away.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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