New York's 10th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold in Manhattan and Brooklyn with a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by around 27 points, drives trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 94.5% in the House election winner market. Incumbent Dan Goldman, who won by 41 points in 2022, dominates fundraising and faces minimal opposition from Republican Mike Zumbluskas, with no recent polls or developments in the past 30 days altering the landscape—Biden carried the district 87%-12% in 2020. Absent a major scandal, legal challenge, or unprecedented turnout shift, the odds reflect historical base rates for safe seats ahead of the November 5 general election and certification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
95%
共和党
$7,576 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 10th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold in Manhattan and Brooklyn with a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by around 27 points, drives trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 94.5% in the House election winner market. Incumbent Dan Goldman, who won by 41 points in 2022, dominates fundraising and faces minimal opposition from Republican Mike Zumbluskas, with no recent polls or developments in the past 30 days altering the landscape—Biden carried the district 87%-12% in 2020. Absent a major scandal, legal challenge, or unprecedented turnout shift, the odds reflect historical base rates for safe seats ahead of the November 5 general election and certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$7,576结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 10th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold in Manhattan and Brooklyn with a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by around 27 points, drives trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 94.5% in the House election winner market. Incumbent Dan Goldman, who won by 41 points in 2022, dominates fundraising and faces minimal opposition from Republican Mike Zumbluskas, with no recent polls or developments in the past 30 days altering the landscape—Biden carried the district 87%-12% in 2020. Absent a major scandal, legal challenge, or unprecedented turnout shift, the odds reflect historical base rates for safe seats ahead of the November 5 general election and certification.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,576结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 10th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold in Manhattan and Brooklyn with a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by around 27 points, drives trader consensus pricing Democratic victory at 94.5% in the House election winner market. Incumbent Dan Goldman, who won by 41 points in 2022, dominates fundraising and faces minimal opposition from Republican Mike Zumbluskas, with no recent polls or developments in the past 30 days altering the landscape—Biden carried the district 87%-12% in 2020. Absent a major scandal, legal challenge, or unprecedented turnout shift, the odds reflect historical base rates for safe seats ahead of the November 5 general election and certification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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