Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the seat's D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Rep. Jill Tokuda's unopposed Democratic primary path, and her dominant fundraising ($591,000 cash on hand versus Republican Brenton Awa's $46,000). Tokuda's prior general election victories (66.5% in 2024, 62.2% in 2022) underscore the district's longstanding Democratic stronghold status, reinforced by Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With no polls or shifts in the past 30 days, odds remain stable ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primary. Realistic challenges include a stronger GOP recruit, Democratic primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,406 交易量
$40,406 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$40,406 交易量
$40,406 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$31,544 交易量
93%
共和党
$8,862 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the seat's D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Rep. Jill Tokuda's unopposed Democratic primary path, and her dominant fundraising ($591,000 cash on hand versus Republican Brenton Awa's $46,000). Tokuda's prior general election victories (66.5% in 2024, 62.2% in 2022) underscore the district's longstanding Democratic stronghold status, reinforced by Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With no polls or shifts in the past 30 days, odds remain stable ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primary. Realistic challenges include a stronger GOP recruit, Democratic primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$40,406结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the seat's D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Rep. Jill Tokuda's unopposed Democratic primary path, and her dominant fundraising ($591,000 cash on hand versus Republican Brenton Awa's $46,000). Tokuda's prior general election victories (66.5% in 2024, 62.2% in 2022) underscore the district's longstanding Democratic stronghold status, reinforced by Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With no polls or shifts in the past 30 days, odds remain stable ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primary. Realistic challenges include a stronger GOP recruit, Democratic primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,406结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the seat's D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Rep. Jill Tokuda's unopposed Democratic primary path, and her dominant fundraising ($591,000 cash on hand versus Republican Brenton Awa's $46,000). Tokuda's prior general election victories (66.5% in 2024, 62.2% in 2022) underscore the district's longstanding Democratic stronghold status, reinforced by Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With no polls or shifts in the past 30 days, odds remain stable ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and August 8 primary. Realistic challenges include a stronger GOP recruit, Democratic primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, national Republican midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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