Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, with its strong Democratic partisan lean and history of lopsided margins—Biden won by over 30 points in 2020—drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the November 5 general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty, seeking reelection after unchallenged primaries in March, benefits from incumbency advantages and superior fundraising, facing Republican Ari Faber, who emerged from a low-turnout GOP primary. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as scandals or polling shifts, have altered this dynamic, aligning market odds with forecast models like 538's near-certain Democratic hold. Barring a late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican wave overwhelming safe blue seats, the outcome remains firmly in Democratic control.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$15,698 交易量
$15,698 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$15,698 交易量
$15,698 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$15,698 交易量
94%
共和党
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, with its strong Democratic partisan lean and history of lopsided margins—Biden won by over 30 points in 2020—drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the November 5 general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty, seeking reelection after unchallenged primaries in March, benefits from incumbency advantages and superior fundraising, facing Republican Ari Faber, who emerged from a low-turnout GOP primary. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as scandals or polling shifts, have altered this dynamic, aligning market odds with forecast models like 538's near-certain Democratic hold. Barring a late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican wave overwhelming safe blue seats, the outcome remains firmly in Democratic control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$15,698结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, with its strong Democratic partisan lean and history of lopsided margins—Biden won by over 30 points in 2020—drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the November 5 general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty, seeking reelection after unchallenged primaries in March, benefits from incumbency advantages and superior fundraising, facing Republican Ari Faber, who emerged from a low-turnout GOP primary. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as scandals or polling shifts, have altered this dynamic, aligning market odds with forecast models like 538's near-certain Democratic hold. Barring a late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican wave overwhelming safe blue seats, the outcome remains firmly in Democratic control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,698结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, with its strong Democratic partisan lean and history of lopsided margins—Biden won by over 30 points in 2020—drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% implied probability for the November 5 general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty, seeking reelection after unchallenged primaries in March, benefits from incumbency advantages and superior fundraising, facing Republican Ari Faber, who emerged from a low-turnout GOP primary. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as scandals or polling shifts, have altered this dynamic, aligning market odds with forecast models like 538's near-certain Democratic hold. Barring a late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Republican wave overwhelming safe blue seats, the outcome remains firmly in Democratic control.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题