Mississippi's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has delivered Republican victories by margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Guest secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Republican. This positioning reflects the district's consistent voter patterns, rural and suburban composition, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A national political shift, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or late health developments remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,124 交易量
$30,124 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
$30,124 交易量
$30,124 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,570 交易量
95%
民主党
$22,554 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has delivered Republican victories by margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Guest secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Republican. This positioning reflects the district's consistent voter patterns, rural and suburban composition, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A national political shift, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or late health developments remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$30,124结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has delivered Republican victories by margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Guest secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Republican. This positioning reflects the district's consistent voter patterns, rural and suburban composition, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A national political shift, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or late health developments remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,124结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has delivered Republican victories by margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Guest secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Republican. This positioning reflects the district's consistent voter patterns, rural and suburban composition, and limited Democratic infrastructure. A national political shift, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or late health developments remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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