Incumbent Democrat Pete Aguilar benefits from a strongly Democratic-leaning district in California’s 33rd congressional seat, where voter registration patterns and consistent turnout in Los Angeles County precincts have produced large margins in recent cycles. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the market’s current 92.5 percent consensus for the Democratic Party. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming events. While the outcome appears settled, scenarios such as an unexpected primary challenge that elevates a different nominee, a major national economic shift, or candidate-specific developments could still influence final results before voters decide.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,772 交易量
93%
共和党
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pete Aguilar benefits from a strongly Democratic-leaning district in California’s 33rd congressional seat, where voter registration patterns and consistent turnout in Los Angeles County precincts have produced large margins in recent cycles. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the market’s current 92.5 percent consensus for the Democratic Party. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming events. While the outcome appears settled, scenarios such as an unexpected primary challenge that elevates a different nominee, a major national economic shift, or candidate-specific developments could still influence final results before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$2,772结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pete Aguilar benefits from a strongly Democratic-leaning district in California’s 33rd congressional seat, where voter registration patterns and consistent turnout in Los Angeles County precincts have produced large margins in recent cycles. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the market’s current 92.5 percent consensus for the Democratic Party. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming events. While the outcome appears settled, scenarios such as an unexpected primary challenge that elevates a different nominee, a major national economic shift, or candidate-specific developments could still influence final results before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,772结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pete Aguilar benefits from a strongly Democratic-leaning district in California’s 33rd congressional seat, where voter registration patterns and consistent turnout in Los Angeles County precincts have produced large margins in recent cycles. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the market’s current 92.5 percent consensus for the Democratic Party. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming events. While the outcome appears settled, scenarios such as an unexpected primary challenge that elevates a different nominee, a major national economic shift, or candidate-specific developments could still influence final results before voters decide.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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