Texas's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in the Houston suburbs, where recent primary results have reinforced trader expectations for a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. State Representative Steve Toth defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March Republican primary, securing the nomination in a district that delivered strong margins for Republican presidential and Senate candidates in 2024. The Democratic nominee, Shaun Finnie, faces structural challenges in a constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Republicans by double digits and limited recent polling showing competitive dynamics. This positioning aligns with the district's consistent voting patterns and the absence of major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning since the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
88%
民主党
11%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,481 交易量
88%
民主党
$4,444 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in the Houston suburbs, where recent primary results have reinforced trader expectations for a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. State Representative Steve Toth defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March Republican primary, securing the nomination in a district that delivered strong margins for Republican presidential and Senate candidates in 2024. The Democratic nominee, Shaun Finnie, faces structural challenges in a constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Republicans by double digits and limited recent polling showing competitive dynamics. This positioning aligns with the district's consistent voting patterns and the absence of major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$8,925结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in the Houston suburbs, where recent primary results have reinforced trader expectations for a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. State Representative Steve Toth defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March Republican primary, securing the nomination in a district that delivered strong margins for Republican presidential and Senate candidates in 2024. The Democratic nominee, Shaun Finnie, faces structural challenges in a constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Republicans by double digits and limited recent polling showing competitive dynamics. This positioning aligns with the district's consistent voting patterns and the absence of major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,925结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in the Houston suburbs, where recent primary results have reinforced trader expectations for a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. State Representative Steve Toth defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March Republican primary, securing the nomination in a district that delivered strong margins for Republican presidential and Senate candidates in 2024. The Democratic nominee, Shaun Finnie, faces structural challenges in a constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index favoring Republicans by double digits and limited recent polling showing competitive dynamics. This positioning aligns with the district's consistent voting patterns and the absence of major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning since the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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