Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym's unopposed path through the May 5 GOP primary in the R+13 Cook PVI Indiana 2nd District underpins trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 91%, reflecting his 2024 general election win by 28 points over Democrat Lori Camp and consistent 60%+ margins since 2022. Superior fundraising—Yakym holds $1.5 million cash on hand versus minimal Democratic totals—bolsters his edge against Democratic primary contenders Jamee Decio and Shaun Maeyens. While national generic ballot polls favor Democrats amid midterm dynamics, this battleground state's deep-red district fundamentals dominate. Scenarios shifting odds include a Yakym scandal, health issue, or massive Democratic funding surge post-primary, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$0 交易量
91%
民主党
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym's unopposed path through the May 5 GOP primary in the R+13 Cook PVI Indiana 2nd District underpins trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 91%, reflecting his 2024 general election win by 28 points over Democrat Lori Camp and consistent 60%+ margins since 2022. Superior fundraising—Yakym holds $1.5 million cash on hand versus minimal Democratic totals—bolsters his edge against Democratic primary contenders Jamee Decio and Shaun Maeyens. While national generic ballot polls favor Democrats amid midterm dynamics, this battleground state's deep-red district fundamentals dominate. Scenarios shifting odds include a Yakym scandal, health issue, or massive Democratic funding surge post-primary, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym's unopposed path through the May 5 GOP primary in the R+13 Cook PVI Indiana 2nd District underpins trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 91%, reflecting his 2024 general election win by 28 points over Democrat Lori Camp and consistent 60%+ margins since 2022. Superior fundraising—Yakym holds $1.5 million cash on hand versus minimal Democratic totals—bolsters his edge against Democratic primary contenders Jamee Decio and Shaun Maeyens. While national generic ballot polls favor Democrats amid midterm dynamics, this battleground state's deep-red district fundamentals dominate. Scenarios shifting odds include a Yakym scandal, health issue, or massive Democratic funding surge post-primary, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym's unopposed path through the May 5 GOP primary in the R+13 Cook PVI Indiana 2nd District underpins trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 91%, reflecting his 2024 general election win by 28 points over Democrat Lori Camp and consistent 60%+ margins since 2022. Superior fundraising—Yakym holds $1.5 million cash on hand versus minimal Democratic totals—bolsters his edge against Democratic primary contenders Jamee Decio and Shaun Maeyens. While national generic ballot polls favor Democrats amid midterm dynamics, this battleground state's deep-red district fundamentals dominate. Scenarios shifting odds include a Yakym scandal, health issue, or massive Democratic funding surge post-primary, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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