Incumbent Rep. Don Beyer (D) solidified his reelection path in Virginia's 8th Congressional District—a solidly Democratic stronghold encompassing Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, and eastern Fairfax County—by announcing his candidacy on February 6 and securing endorsements from Sens. Mark Warner and Tim Kaine plus Rep. Abigail Spanberger in late February. Recent reporting highlights a crowded Democratic primary on June 16 with at least five challengers questioning Beyer's age and record, but the district's D+15 partisan lean and history of double-digit Democratic general election margins underpin trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party nominee. Republican prospects remain dim amid a thin field led by veteran Tony Sabio, with upset scenarios limited to a disorganized Democratic primary outcome, national GOP midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$0 交易量
94%
共和党
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Don Beyer (D) solidified his reelection path in Virginia's 8th Congressional District—a solidly Democratic stronghold encompassing Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, and eastern Fairfax County—by announcing his candidacy on February 6 and securing endorsements from Sens. Mark Warner and Tim Kaine plus Rep. Abigail Spanberger in late February. Recent reporting highlights a crowded Democratic primary on June 16 with at least five challengers questioning Beyer's age and record, but the district's D+15 partisan lean and history of double-digit Democratic general election margins underpin trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party nominee. Republican prospects remain dim amid a thin field led by veteran Tony Sabio, with upset scenarios limited to a disorganized Democratic primary outcome, national GOP midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Don Beyer (D) solidified his reelection path in Virginia's 8th Congressional District—a solidly Democratic stronghold encompassing Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, and eastern Fairfax County—by announcing his candidacy on February 6 and securing endorsements from Sens. Mark Warner and Tim Kaine plus Rep. Abigail Spanberger in late February. Recent reporting highlights a crowded Democratic primary on June 16 with at least five challengers questioning Beyer's age and record, but the district's D+15 partisan lean and history of double-digit Democratic general election margins underpin trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party nominee. Republican prospects remain dim amid a thin field led by veteran Tony Sabio, with upset scenarios limited to a disorganized Democratic primary outcome, national GOP midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Don Beyer (D) solidified his reelection path in Virginia's 8th Congressional District—a solidly Democratic stronghold encompassing Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, and eastern Fairfax County—by announcing his candidacy on February 6 and securing endorsements from Sens. Mark Warner and Tim Kaine plus Rep. Abigail Spanberger in late February. Recent reporting highlights a crowded Democratic primary on June 16 with at least five challengers questioning Beyer's age and record, but the district's D+15 partisan lean and history of double-digit Democratic general election margins underpin trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party nominee. Republican prospects remain dim amid a thin field led by veteran Tony Sabio, with upset scenarios limited to a disorganized Democratic primary outcome, national GOP midterm wave, or unforeseen scandal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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