Virginia’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and uniform “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Don Beyer faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 primaries, while Republican candidates remain low-profile with limited fundraising. No significant polling shifts, redistricting changes, or national political developments have altered the district’s baseline partisan advantage in recent weeks. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural edge; a realistic challenge would require an unusually large Republican national wave, an unexpected Democratic primary upset, or an unforeseen event such as incumbent withdrawal before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,496 交易量
93%
共和党
$898 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and uniform “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Don Beyer faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 primaries, while Republican candidates remain low-profile with limited fundraising. No significant polling shifts, redistricting changes, or national political developments have altered the district’s baseline partisan advantage in recent weeks. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural edge; a realistic challenge would require an unusually large Republican national wave, an unexpected Democratic primary upset, or an unforeseen event such as incumbent withdrawal before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$9,394结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and uniform “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Don Beyer faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 primaries, while Republican candidates remain low-profile with limited fundraising. No significant polling shifts, redistricting changes, or national political developments have altered the district’s baseline partisan advantage in recent weeks. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural edge; a realistic challenge would require an unusually large Republican national wave, an unexpected Democratic primary upset, or an unforeseen event such as incumbent withdrawal before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,394结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and uniform “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Don Beyer faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 primaries, while Republican candidates remain low-profile with limited fundraising. No significant polling shifts, redistricting changes, or national political developments have altered the district’s baseline partisan advantage in recent weeks. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural edge; a realistic challenge would require an unusually large Republican national wave, an unexpected Democratic primary upset, or an unforeseen event such as incumbent withdrawal before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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