California's 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the nation, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+39 based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Lateefah Simon faces only intra-party competition in the June 2 top-two primary, with no Republican candidate positioned to advance or contest the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited opposition fundraising or organization. Trader consensus on Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, though any resolution would hinge on the certified general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,050 交易量
$34,050 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$34,050 交易量
$34,050 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$20,437 交易量
94%
共和党
$13,612 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the nation, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+39 based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Lateefah Simon faces only intra-party competition in the June 2 top-two primary, with no Republican candidate positioned to advance or contest the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited opposition fundraising or organization. Trader consensus on Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, though any resolution would hinge on the certified general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$34,050结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the nation, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+39 based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Lateefah Simon faces only intra-party competition in the June 2 top-two primary, with no Republican candidate positioned to advance or contest the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited opposition fundraising or organization. Trader consensus on Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, though any resolution would hinge on the certified general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,050结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the nation, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+39 based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Lateefah Simon faces only intra-party competition in the June 2 top-two primary, with no Republican candidate positioned to advance or contest the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited opposition fundraising or organization. Trader consensus on Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, though any resolution would hinge on the certified general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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