Republican Chris Gober secured the nomination for Texas’s 10th congressional district after winning the March 2026 primary outright with 51 percent, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk advanced from her primary with 61 percent. The open seat, created by incumbent Michael McCaul’s retirement, sits in a district with a strong Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 83 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s recent election margins and limited Democratic performance in statewide polling aggregates. No major developments have altered the race outlook in recent weeks, leaving the general election contest on November 3, 2026, as the primary remaining variable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,624 交易量
$14,624 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
15%
$14,624 交易量
$14,624 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,772 交易量
83%
民主党
$8,852 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Chris Gober secured the nomination for Texas’s 10th congressional district after winning the March 2026 primary outright with 51 percent, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk advanced from her primary with 61 percent. The open seat, created by incumbent Michael McCaul’s retirement, sits in a district with a strong Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 83 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s recent election margins and limited Democratic performance in statewide polling aggregates. No major developments have altered the race outlook in recent weeks, leaving the general election contest on November 3, 2026, as the primary remaining variable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$14,624结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Chris Gober secured the nomination for Texas’s 10th congressional district after winning the March 2026 primary outright with 51 percent, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk advanced from her primary with 61 percent. The open seat, created by incumbent Michael McCaul’s retirement, sits in a district with a strong Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 83 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s recent election margins and limited Democratic performance in statewide polling aggregates. No major developments have altered the race outlook in recent weeks, leaving the general election contest on November 3, 2026, as the primary remaining variable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,624结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Chris Gober secured the nomination for Texas’s 10th congressional district after winning the March 2026 primary outright with 51 percent, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk advanced from her primary with 61 percent. The open seat, created by incumbent Michael McCaul’s retirement, sits in a district with a strong Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 83 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s recent election margins and limited Democratic performance in statewide polling aggregates. No major developments have altered the race outlook in recent weeks, leaving the general election contest on November 3, 2026, as the primary remaining variable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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